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Market News » marshall white


Big picture bleak, closer examination brighter!

Big picture bleak, closer examination brighter!
Its 6pm Saturday, week one of our fourth and final 2018, 3-week 100 Auction, Inner Melbourne Family Home, Market Temperature Test. Try saying that a few times! The results above and supporting data below are self-explanatory. Yes? No? Maybe? Have you been to an auction, EOI or off-market lately – is it a bit hit and miss? Not really. In fact, we [...]
Are You Awake To What Is Really Going On?

Are You Awake To What Is Really Going On?

This is the first of two articles about what is really happening in our markets. We live in exciting times in the business, in the emotion of and in the life of Melbourne Top End real estate. Is it a dawn or is it a midnight? Who knows but it is one of the more interesting times we have seen, [...]
It’s official, we have a new No. 1!

It’s official, we have a new No. 1!

At 6.00pm the James Spring 100 Auction Clearance Rate for $M+ Inner Melbourne family homes was 53% over the 3-week market test period (Aug 25, Sept 1 and 8). Last week our heading was Wipeout – it was a shocking day on the streets (31%) –  today (66%) the results are a bounce back to the previous week (61%) [...]
WipeOut

WipeOut

At 6.00pm the James Clearance rate for $M+ Inner Melbourne family homes was 31% on the 35 Auctions we covered today. This was the poorest recorded clearance rate on record (ever). James Bidderman that is, bidders per auction, was 0.7 – a very negative stat for the start of the Spring market. This was the equal poorest recorded Bidderman on record (ever). Last week we stated the market seemed a little [...]
Price Uncertainty is the New Black

Price Uncertainty is the New Black

Price has become such an interesting concept in this market. There feels to be an overall lack of trust and comfort with regards to what price to pay – so whilst many things are different between the market of now (eg still some volcano auctions, 6 bidders sub $2m at 18 Barkly St, Brighton, Alex Schiavo)  [...]
9 Buyers near 9 Million in Glen Iris – Hello Dolly!

9 Buyers near 9 Million in Glen Iris – Hello Dolly!

At 6.00pm on Saturday, in the second week of our three week May 100 Auction Test, it’s all becoming a little ho-hum – stats wise. The James Clearance Rate for $2m+ Inner Melbourne family homes is a borderline ice-berger 63% on the 35 auctions we covered. Bidderman was up a skerrick to 1.6 bidders per auction [...]
Cash is Why

Cash is Why

It’s 6.00 pm on Saturday, the first of 3 weeks in our May 100 Auction test. It played out to an expected script, with a near cold 63% clearance rate on family homes over $2 million and the James Bidderman is a consistently chilly 1.3 (bidders per auction), on what are relatively low stock levels for a “normal” May. Look at the [...]
Scotch College’s buying tactics – Dustin Martin and Ralph Carr

Scotch College’s buying tactics – Dustin Martin and Ralph Carr

End of Year Bumper Edition Contents: Yesterday’s Rout 2017 Year in Review Younger People’s compassion and tax problem Around the Grounds Scotch College’s curious auction strategy Emotion v $ when deciding on a home Transparency The “Reserve” malaise widens Ralph Carr and Dustin Martin Thank you’s 2017 – Top 5 Reads at James Market News Next Edition It’s never as good as it seems and it’s never as bad as it [...]
“Dummy Bidding” and the Current Market

“Dummy Bidding” and the Current Market

Contents 1. Hammer Watch – Quoting / Underquoting 2. Final Word on The Block and “Dummy Bidding” 3. Inside James – Bumper 5 Stories this week: Don’t buy it – better a missed opportunity than a mistake Build family wealth over individual wealth Handing back a fee to a client – and it hurt – hurt a lot. Pricing Heritage – pricing covenants [...]
The word from the street – what is really going on?

The word from the street – what is really going on?

Happy Mothers Day to all our Mums – the real home decision makers. This week in James Market News: Market Commentary – Three-week Challenge of 100 reported auctions Auction Action – 33 auction results Inside James – buy-then-sell service and Mal’s auction observations At 6.00pm Saturday, the overall Inner Melbourne market results were solid, if you just look at the Clearance [...]
And finally Telstra reported that a number of selling agents were returning calls to buyers…..

And finally Telstra reported that a number of selling agents were returning calls to buyers…..

It’s James Market News Lite on this special day, today. Today it was hard to believe what we saw, all over the Inner Melbourne auction scene. It was incredible. Overseas bidders from China were not actually putting offers in on homes, without FIRB approval and a number of negative gearing buyers who owned between 10 and 20 homes, had decided to [...]
Welcome to 2017 – Back on the hustings today

Welcome to 2017 – Back on the hustings today

Clockwise visits today – no substitute for foot leather, listening, looking and listening again. 1st Slide Clockwise from top left: Malvern East:$2.5m?  – little cutie – no, not the agent John Manton – the house. Good crowds at the OFI. Hawthorn: $4m? Off -Market or Pre-Market? – good family home. Crowds – Only one! Armadale: $4m? Nice one – listening [...]
How to buy a Top End home well – it’s different!

How to buy a Top End home well – it’s different!

INTRODUCTION If I told you buying a home at the Top End is more about trust than money, would you believe me? Maybe, maybe not. Well this is a story about 3 homes involving strategy, dealmaking and truths at the Top of the Top End. Towers Road, Toorak (Marcus Chiminello) Bought 2016: James Home Rating 942/1000 Kooyongkoot Road, Hawthorn (Ross Savas / Jeremy [...]
In some sections, the market hiccuped a little today

In some sections, the market hiccuped a little today

At 6 pm the James Clearance Rate was 73% on the 30 auctions we covered. Bidderman dipped to 2 bidders per auction. With a lot of stock on offer, we interpret these stats as a hiccup, more so than a radical change – but nonetheless a change could be on – see our references to B and C graders [...]
2016年市场的开端是(······紧锣密鼓)

2016年市场的开端是(······紧锣密鼓)

2016年市场的开端是(······紧锣密鼓)     5/3/2016 代理故意报低价是欺骗行为,我们完全支持CAV和政府的努力 墨尔本近郊数据 竞标人数 2.4  拍卖水平 150  清盘率78 竞标人数  零竞标者  1位竞标者  2/3位竞标者  4位以上竞标者 2.4        13%       13%        45%           29% James市场总结 2016年市场的开端是······紧锣密鼓······涌入······强劲的······震惊。毫无疑问没有什么其他方法来确切描述。我们已经经历了连续三个大型的周末拍卖了。今天事实上是一个超级星期六,市场已经说明了。 2016年一开始就非常强劲。2016年和2015年仅有的区别就是市场上的房屋数量(2016年要少些)和激烈程度(同2015年暴涨, 失控相比,2016年表现强劲)。 我们James买方代理这个月目前为止做了很多事情,我们今天又买了.但恰恰是我们没有买成或没有买的房子揭示了墨尔本近郊房屋市场的真实情况。 34 Bell Street Hawthorn(Steve Burke and Tony Doh) * 在Hawthorn好的单面房(James房屋评估655) * 中介保守的报价是$1,300,000澳元。 * 我们为我们的投资者的估价在$1,600,000澳元左右,我们经过对该地区近期交易仔细的调查,给出了$1,518,000到$1,718,000这样一个区间。 * 开标价为$1,500,000并且到达了可以销售的价位, 另三位强劲的竞标者把卖价推到了$1,720,000. 为了一个单面房在$1,500,000后出现了井喷式的竞标. * 正好在我们估价的高位。 * 如果竞标以那位代理的报价$1,300,000开始,那我相信你会看到6位或7位竞标者。 * 注意:代理报价没有问题——他们有竞标者在那里并且一开始出到了可以销售的价位。 * 信息一:34 Bell Street告诉我们Hawthorn的单面房在市场上有相当大的深度。 * 信息二:买家并不是单一通过James买方代理同中介打交道,而是不断地同那些落标的竞争者打交道。要成功,让我们回头看看我们去年这个时候在拍卖会外的策略吧。 5 Nelson Street Sandringham (Julian Augustini 和 Romana Preston) * 非常高的质地,单层,装修过,木板,Sandringham B级街道, 中等大小的地块特定年代的房屋(James房屋评估727)。 * 代理报价$2,200,000到$2,300,000 * 开拍$2,400,000着实吓到了众人,使得拍卖停顿了一会,这才使买家有了喘息的机会。 * 而这种失去意识只是短暂的,因为有另5位(是的5位)举起他们的手直至$2,655,000。我们的出价上限是$2,725,000。对于一个在Sandringham低于中等地段,高于中等的单层木板房在出价$2,400,000后出现了竞标者井喷现象。 * 在过去的两周里我们在67 Mills看到6位竞标者把价格抬到了$2,790,000,在Edward St有4位竞标者把价格抬到超过了$2,600,000, 今天这里有6位竞标者(应该有十几位预算超过$2,000,000)——因此现在在海湾区中部,家庭住房是很有深度的。 * 注意:代理报价没有错——他们有竞标者在那里,第二次出标后就房屋就达到了可以销售的价位。 * 信息一:当你想在Sandringham/Hampton买一幢$2,500,000左右的A级的房子,你可能有十几位竞标者(请参阅受伤的落标者文章)在看着你,5 [...]

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