More big crowds this week, such as this one at 27 Auburn Pde, Hawthorn East, which stopped traffic! Under the hammer, $1,360,000, Peter Batrouney (Jellis Craig), 4 bidders

At 6pm on Saturday the James $M+ Clearance Rate on the 32 auctions we covered dipped to 59%. For the second week in a row there were around 150 new $M+ listings in our main coverage area of Bayside and the Inner East. Buyers have firmly said to sellers – “if it ain’t priced right we ain’t bidding, because we can see plenty of other homes coming on”. This attitude was particularly evidenced by the ‘duck’ rate (auctions with no bids and no sale afterwards) which was almost 1 in 3 this weekend  – well up on last weekend.

However there were exceptions – such as in Stonnington at the top of the Top End where there was almost no stopping the market and it made its strongest statement of the year so far.

Where is the Market At?

Last week there were indications the early $million+ market could be warming up a bit. But a second strong week of listings has taken some heat out of the market.

The strongest “take notice of me” stat was this weekend’s Bidderman dropping back to 1.5 from a more healthy 2 last week. What that tells us is that buyers are seeing stock choices going forward and the urgency has dimmed on some homes.  If Bidderman continues like this to Easter, prices are unlikely to rise.

This weekend we did see price pressure on quality homes, with quite strong bidding at a number of auctions (including several $3m+ auctions) and five ‘volcanoes’ of 4+ bidders per auction.

What we’re saying is that this first market period, up to Labour Day, has started healthy and balanced. But the second market (up to Easter) is no longer a shoo-in positive for would be sellers.

For buyers, this two week stock surge presents an opportunity for good prices on some good homes that the market may miss – at least until Easter. But things can change quickly – while May last year saw oodles of stock coming onto the market, that may not happen again this year. Given we’ve got such a late Easter in 2011, we may already be seeing the stock surge we saw in May last year, which could mean we don’t get strong stock levels this May.

Crowd Numbers: Again we had big crowds at many auctions, indicating a strong level of interest in results. This weekend we reported one in three auctions with 80 or more people in attendance. All others had good numbers watching.

Our $M+ Supply Indicators:

New Stock: This has been the second huge week in a row for listings with around 150 $M+ homes newly listed for sale in the Inner East and Bayside areas that we cover. There were around 200 $M+ listings across Greater Melbourne.

Actual Numbers Sold: There are solid numbers of $M+ homes changing hands, which is in part why we are not yet buying into any  cries of  a “weak market”.
Agent Market Comments:
Gerald Delaney (Kay & Burton): “I can’t see anything wrong with the market at the moment. We have seen good interest on good properties. I definitely think the market is a healthy one.”
Justin Long (Marshall White): “I feel the market has a bit of upward pressure at the moment. The well priced properties are going beyond expectations and the overpriced or not so good can be very hard work.”

James Marketnews Big Issue:
A few Expressions of Interest and Forthcoming auctions are coming back – a possible sign the pre-Easter auction market is viewed as oversupplied. Watch the discussion on Market News TV.

‘Round the Grounds Snapshots
Boroondara -  Stock Surge in Boroondara – Clearance Rates are definitely not as good as we are used to, but nearly 40 homes at $M+ were bought this week
Bayside – Bayside still shining the brightest – more stock coming on pre Easter will re-test its underlying 2011 strength
Port Phillip – So-so weekend, but stock wasn’t that exciting. Wow on Howe – Big $6m+ sale.
Stonnington – Where the big action was this weekend.
Rest of Melbourne – Just not a lot of $m+ auction action happening so we held over this week’s report
More Detailed Analysis in our Weekly Local Council Market Wraps

$3M+ Markets:
New Homes: Definitely weaker than last year particularly in the Balwyn and North Balwyn heartland.
Period Homes: Solid interest continues
More News and Specific Results can be found in $3-Million-Plus Market articles on the home page

MALVERN, 66 Claremont Ave: Iain Carmichael (BenMac) led a cracker auction - on the market at $3,300,000 and selling under the hammer $3,700,000, 3 bidders

Biggest Sale: 19 Hamilton Rd, Malvern, Justin Long (Marshall White): Under the hammer $4,357,000
The auction opened on a bid of $3,820,000, was on the market at $4,250,000 and bought under the hammer for $4,357,000. There were two bidders and a crowd of around 150. A solid result for this 1930s reproduction home on 668sqm of land.

Biggest Pass-In: 279 Beaconsfield Parade, Middle Park, Gerald Betts (RT Edgar): passed in $4,250,000
“Auctioneer Gerald Betts opened with a vendor bid of $4,000,000 and closed with a vendor bid of $4,250,000 in front of 40 seemingly uninterested observers.” (Mal James)

Bidderbuzz Auction: 11 William St, Brighton, Rod Richardson (Hocking Stuart): Under the hammer $3,100,000, 5 bidders
“The epic 45 minute auction of 11 William Street had a mix of elements to entertain those spectators watching on – intensity, drama and tension with a few awkward silences thrown in.  In the end it was a battle of the property developers for this generous block of land, in the heart of bayside Brighton.  Auctioneer Rod Richardson showed composure in the face of heckling and the patience of a saint during this long auction, working tirelessly to achieve a solid result for the vendor from the opening bid of $2,710,000 to the winning end at $3,100,000.  All in all, it was an entertaining auction to witness!” (Nikki Hills)

Auction Video: This week Architect Adam heads to Hawthorn to witness James Tostevin and the Marshall White team auction 66 Manningtree Road. Click on the live action.

Please Note: we always ask permission to film and we always show respect at each auction. We also never video at an auction we are bidding at. If you are at an auction and don’t wish to be videoed, there are designated no-video zones. See our co-workers or ask the auctioneer.

Buyer Masterclass: A change of pace with Architect Adam telling us why we love Victorian homes – with plenty of facts and figures.

No Marketnews next week with Labour Day Long Weekend.

We Only Buy Homes

Hawthorn 35 Mason: Scott Patterson and Michael Armstrong: Bought for over $3,100,000: 4 bidders

Some interesting results to finish off the month:

• 6 Teringa Place Toorak with Andrew Macmillan and Andrew McCann of Benmac was bought Sunday for an undisclosed amount over $3,500,000. House was quite serviceable but it would have also been considered as a bulldozer job placing land just under $5000 per sq metre
• 

  49 Howe Crescent South Melbourne - bought in excess of $6,000,000. Expressions of Interest - Michael Coen Hocking Stuart

  And a very quick and smart result at 49 Howe Crescent South Melbourne with Michael Coen of Hocking Stuart – due to be sold through an Expressions of Interest Campaign completing 21st March it was snapped up within a few days of advertising on the 25th of February. The result was a strong one and is undisclosed but the  quoting was over $5,000,000 and we believe in sold for in excess of $6,000,000 to give you some perspective. We do a fair bit of work in the is Expression of Interest area and this again proves that those who wait until the stated deadline do not put themselves in the best position to buy.

• 

  290 Beach Beaumaris - Len Sharp Chisholm and Gamon - Full asking price of $2,950,000 after a previously failed selling campaign.

  Private Sale at 290 Beach Road Black Rock with Len Sharp of Chisholm and Gamon for full asking price of $2,950,000. This again supports our comments that 1) Bayside and 2) New and 3) $3m (almost) price tag are a combination that is getting some runs on the board in the late Summer of 2011.

• Caulfield 20 Langdon Road – Rochelle Butt and Rodney Morley of TBM got away 1500 sqm of land plus home in Caulfield North for an amount believed to be in excess of $4,000,000. Showing that Caulfield’s prices can be Canterbury prices when the right package is sought after.

Week Ending February 26th: If last week was the season opener for the $1m+ auction market, then  this  week  was the beginning of the $3m+ auction market and the main  focus for this weekend’s report. We don’t have all this weekend’s numbers in yet, so it’s hard to call, but it seems that this upper  market cleared at 44% of the properties under the hammer. We at  James accept a slightly lower auction clearance rate on the day in this segment as indicating balanced, warm or even hot  markets, because the air is generally thinner at this level due to the lower number of bidders available at this price point, and because the pre and post auction argy-bargy is  generally greater. Today there were quite a few $3m+ homes on offer. We  think this market segment is underwhelming at present – however if it is the right price, the right property and the right position it is still being well  received and taken up.

A few of the biggies that were bought

• Armadale 23 Wattletree Road – Justin Long – 3 bidders – $3,300,000
• Hawthorn 46 Illawarra – Mark Dayman – Bought Before – $4,250,000
• Brighton 33 Middle Crescent – Jason Swift – 3 bidders – $4,300,000
• Malvern East 8 Westgarth – Andrew Macmillan – 2 bidders – Post Auction Buy a smidge under $3,000,000
• Hawthorn 45 Mason – Scott Patterson – 4 bidders – Under  the Hammer over $3,100,000
• Malvern East 118 Finch – Bought for $3,150,000
• Kew 4 Madden – Peter Batrouney – Bought After – 1 bidder – $3,050,000
• East Melbourne – John Bongiorno – 3 bidders – $3,000,000

Some of the biggies that missed the mark

• Balwyn North 15 Stephens  – 2 bidders – Passed In for $3,650,000
• Balwyn North 59 Hosken – Passed In for $4,050,000
• Toorak 44 Verdant – Passed In for $3,750,000
• Hawthorn 23 Lisson – Passed In for $3,600,000
• Toorak 231 Kooyong – Passed In for $3,500,000
• Malvern East 50 Finch  - 1 Bidder – Passed In $4,100,000

St Kilda West 49 Mary: Passed In $4,000,000 - 0 Bidders: Andrew Stuart was not in the mood for mucking around – he had an uphill battle and he knew it. An opening vendor bid of $4,000,000 immediately hushed the vibrant crowd of 120 and that was it. Game over – a half time break for show but the gate was shut. A duck for this auction. Photos by Phoebe James

Week Ending February 19th: This market is either poor or, what is more reasonable to assume, still on holidays. Mike Gibson of Kay and Burton says that most high end sellers, as advised, are waiting. Hence the quality currently on the market is average. He expects good stock at this level to come on post Labour Day and before Easter.

To support our claims that the $3m+ market hasn’t really got going yet, look at this weekend’s Pass–Ins of $3m+ properties  –

St Kilda West – Mary St – $4,000,000 –  0 Bidders
James Auction Report: See Report Above

Camberwell – Canterbury Road – $3,801,000 – 1 Bidder
James Auction Report: An air of expectation at another James Tostevin Boroondara tennis court auction. He has almost singlehandedly made them his own over the last 2 years or thereabouts. His focus has been 20000 sq ft tennis court at $6m plus. A huge crowd, around 200 with kids trampolining, people milling and cars driving by. Everybody seems to know at least one person to give a wink or a nod to. Carnival atmosphere. Then the business started – well this time it didn’t. One auctioneer bid at $3,800,000 and then surprisingly one crowd bid for $1,000 more. Small Argument – settled with pass-in to the bidder on his $1,000 bid. Inside to do battle and last check they were still banging heads. We await the result.

"You are all very naughty schoolkids and I'm going to keep you back here somebody bids." Well no, James Tostevin didn't say that but he may have been thinking this on Saturday. Camberwell 31 Canterbury: Passed In $3,801,000: 1 bidder:

Balwyn – 12 Creswick – $3,425,000 – 3 Bidders
James Auction Report: A genuine bid of $2,000,000 opened proceedings. Auctioneer Maurice Di Marzio politely accepted the bid, suggesting it was closer to land value than a sale price, before offering a vendor bid of $3,200,000. More than 150 people watched Mr Di Marzio field bids from another two bidders before passing the property in at $3,425,000. Both interested parties headed inside after the auction for further discussions.

Albert Park – 139 Beaconsfield – $3,250,000 — 0 Bidders
James Auction Report: Auctioneer David Wood from Hocking Stuart was seriously up against the elements today as he tried to make himself heard against the traffic noise and the wind coming off Port Phillip Bay. The preamble was short and to the point, before he asked for bids. No one was prepared to open the bidding and he immediately entered a vendor bid of $3,250,000. Still no response, so half time was called. After the think music was up, the question was asked again and still no bids. The property was passed in on the vendor bid.

Gowan Stubbings of Kay and Burton successful at 29 Scott Grove Glen Iris

Kooyong – 711 Toorak – $3,190,000

In fact the only auction sale over $3,000,000 we covered was 29 Scott Grove Glen Iris (Gowan Stubbings of Kay and Burton) for $3,032,000 – 3 Bidders.
James Auction Report: A triangular battle developed right from the word go, and auctioneer Gowan Stubbings orchestrated the bidding superbly to maintain momentum throughout. Only when the $3,000,000 mark was eclipsed, did one of the bidders drop out. $32,000 later and the property was secured. Good naturedly, the two bidders shook hands to acknowledge the end of the contest. A riveting event.

However a few strong private and off-market sales show this market is not completely morbid. There is still some pulse. There were three very solid such sales in Bayside this week:

Brighton Golden Mile: Scene of 2 big sales over $10,000 per sq metre in February 2011

Shandford Avenue – Nick Johnstone of JP Dixon – $7.3m for 600sqm approx – which translates to $10,000 sqm for Golden Mile beachfront

Chatsworth Avenue – Stewart Lopez of Kay and Burton – $11m+ for 1100 sqm approx – again, $10,000 sqm for Golden Mile beachfront

Kerferd Road – Andrew Stuart of Hocking Stuart – $4.9m off market – 440 sqm approx

Continuing with February Sales:

While we have seen no sales over $3m reported in Boroondara and only the long suffering and difficult to see what you can do with it 13 Como Sth Yarra finally sold (Jeremy Fox of RT Edgar) we have seen a reasonable amount of mopping up action in Brighton – a sort of summer clean out.

New and old Brightonians like to buy New in Brighton

1 Inner Crescent Brighton with Justin Follett of Kay and Burton for an undisclosed amount – proved difficult to move and while it was an impressive residence it must have been price that proved the sticking point. Having said that line it up against a number of apartments and I thought the final result was fair value.

This type of offering sold well over Summer

2 William St Brighton – cnr St Andrews –scene of the all the helicopter noise in recent weeks saw a similar offering to 1 Inner Crescent also sell –reportedly through Kay and Burton.

2a Mulgoa also with Kay and Burton and a similar offering got a lot of it’s 50% better price basically because of its golden mile location.

Another good result  in the Golden Mile this time for the dynamic duo Regina Schmidt and Brian Devlin saw another of the Glyndon apartments (no 4) bought for $3,200,000 which continues to emphasize the demand for “retiree” offerings and it shows the selling appeal for Friedrich designs.

The Buxton duo again  – 1/188 The Esplanade with waterfront views but unlike the Golden Mile also some traffic noise – bought for $3,500,000.

And finally also Buxton in Brighton – David Hart got away a very popular 62 Dendy when we  went through it (but for us main road, south facing , tight block) for a smidge under $2,950,000. And increase of just over 28% from the depths of the GFC,  2 years ago.

Hawthorn 35 Mason: Scott Patterson and Michael Armstrong: Bought for over $3,100,000: 4 bidders

Week Ending February 26th: If last week was the season opener for the $1m+ auction market, then this week was the beginning of the $3m+ auction market and the main focus for this weekend’s report. We don’t have all this weekend’s numbers in yet, so it’s hard to call, but it seems that this upper market cleared at 44% of the properties under the hammer. We at James accept a slightly lower auction clearance rate on the day in this segment as indicating balanced, warm or even hot markets, because the air is generally thinner at this level due to the lower number of bidders available at this price point, and because the pre and post auction argy-bargy is generally greater. Today there were quite a few $3m+ homes on offer. We think this market segment is underwhelming at present – however if it is the right price, the right property and the right position it is still being well received and taken up.

A few of the biggies that were bought

• Armadale 23 Wattletree Road – Justin Long – 3 bidders – $3,300,000
• Hawthorn 46 Illawarra – Mark Dayman – Bought Before – $4,250,000
• Brighton 33 Middle Crescent – Jason Swift – 3 bidders – $4,300,000
• Malvern East 8 Westgarth – Andrew Macmillan – 2 bidders – Post Auction Buy a smidge under $3,000,000
• Hawthorn 45 Mason – Scott Patterson – 4 bidders – Under  the Hammer over $3,100,000
• Malvern East 118 Finch – Bought for $3,150,000
• Kew 4 Madden – Peter Batrouney – Bought After – 1 bidder – $3,050,000
• East Melbourne – John Bongiorno – 3 bidders – $3,000,000

Some of the biggies that missed the mark

• Balwyn North 15 Stephens  – 2 bidders – Passed In for $3,650,000
• Balwyn North 59 Hosken – Passed In for $4,050,000
• Toorak 44 Verdant – Passed In for $3,750,000
• Hawthorn 23 Lisson – Passed In for $3,600,000
• Toorak 231 Kooyong – Passed In for $3,500,000
• Malvern East 50 Finch  - 1 Bidder – Passed In $4,100,000

St Kilda West 49 Mary: Passed In $4,000,000 - 0 Bidders: Andrew Stuart was not in the mood for mucking around – he had an uphill battle and he knew it. An opening vendor bid of $4,000,000 immediately hushed the vibrant crowd of 120 and that was it. Game over – a half time break for show but the gate was shut. A duck for this auction. Photos by Phoebe James

Week Ending February 19th: This market is either poor or, what is more reasonable to assume, still on holidays. Mike Gibson of Kay and Burton says that most high end sellers, as advised, are waiting. Hence the quality currently on the market is average. He expects good stock at this level to come on post Labour Day and before Easter.

To support our claims that the $3m+ market hasn’t really got going yet, look at this weekend’s Pass–Ins of $3m+ properties  –

St Kilda West – Mary St – $4,000,000 –  0 Bidders
James Auction Report: See Report Above

Camberwell – Canterbury Road – $3,801,000 – 1 Bidder
James Auction Report: An air of expectation at another James Tostevin Boroondara tennis court auction. He has almost singlehandedly made them his own over the last 2 years or thereabouts. His focus has been 20000 sq ft tennis court at $6m plus. A huge crowd, around 200 with kids trampolining, people milling and cars driving by. Everybody seems to know at least one person to give a wink or a nod to. Carnival atmosphere. Then the business started – well this time it didn’t. One auctioneer bid at $3,800,000 and then surprisingly one crowd bid for $1,000 more. Small Argument – settled with pass-in to the bidder on his $1,000 bid. Inside to do battle and last check they were still banging heads. We await the result.

"You are all very naughty schoolkids and I'm going to keep you back here somebody bids." Well no, James Tostevin didn't say that but he may have been thinking this on Saturday. Camberwell 31 Canterbury: Passed In $3,801,000: 1 bidder:

Balwyn – 12 Creswick – $3,425,000 – 3 Bidders
James Auction Report: A genuine bid of $2,000,000 opened proceedings. Auctioneer Maurice Di Marzio politely accepted the bid, suggesting it was closer to land value than a sale price, before offering a vendor bid of $3,200,000. More than 150 people watched Mr Di Marzio field bids from another two bidders before passing the property in at $3,425,000. Both interested parties headed inside after the auction for further discussions.

Albert Park – 139 Beaconsfield – $3,250,000 — 0 Bidders
James Auction Report: Auctioneer David Wood from Hocking Stuart was seriously up against the elements today as he tried to make himself heard against the traffic noise and the wind coming off Port Phillip Bay. The preamble was short and to the point, before he asked for bids. No one was prepared to open the bidding and he immediately entered a vendor bid of $3,250,000. Still no response, so half time was called. After the think music was up, the question was asked again and still no bids. The property was passed in on the vendor bid.

Gowan Stubbings of Kay and Burton successful at 29 Scott Grove Glen Iris

Kooyong – 711 Toorak – $3,190,000

In fact the only auction sale over $3,000,000 we covered was 29 Scott Grove Glen Iris (Gowan Stubbings of Kay and Burton) for $3,032,000 – 3 Bidders.
James Auction Report: A triangular battle developed right from the word go, and auctioneer Gowan Stubbings orchestrated the bidding superbly to maintain momentum throughout. Only when the $3,000,000 mark was eclipsed, did one of the bidders drop out. $32,000 later and the property was secured. Good naturedly, the two bidders shook hands to acknowledge the end of the contest. A riveting event.

However a few strong private and off-market sales show this market is not completely morbid. There is still some pulse. There were three very solid such sales in Bayside this week:

Brighton Golden Mile: Scene of 2 big sales over $10,000 per sq metre in February 2011

Shandford Avenue – Nick Johnstone of JP Dixon – $7.3m for 600sqm approx – which translates to $10,000 sqm for Golden Mile beachfront

Chatsworth Avenue – Stewart Lopez of Kay and Burton – $11m+ for 1100 sqm approx – again, $10,000 sqm for Golden Mile beachfront

Kerferd Road – Andrew Stuart of Hocking Stuart – $4.9m off market – 440 sqm approx

Continuing with February Sales:

While we have seen no sales over $3m reported in Boroondara and only the long suffering and difficult to see what you can do with it 13 Como Sth Yarra finally sold (Jeremy Fox of RT Edgar) we have seen a reasonable amount of mopping up action in Brighton – a sort of summer clean out.

New and old Brightonians like to buy New in Brighton

1 Inner Crescent Brighton with Justin Follett of Kay and Burton for an undisclosed amount – proved difficult to move and while it was an impressive residence it must have been price that proved the sticking point. Having said that line it up against a number of apartments and I thought the final result was fair value.

This type of offering sold well over Summer

2 William St Brighton – cnr St Andrews –scene of the all the helicopter noise in recent weeks saw a similar offering to 1 Inner Crescent also sell –reportedly through Kay and Burton.

2a Mulgoa also with Kay and Burton and a similar offering got a lot of it’s 50% better price basically because of its golden mile location.

Another good result  in the Golden Mile this time for the dynamic duo Regina Schmidt and Brian Devlin saw another of the Glyndon apartments (no 4) bought for $3,200,000 which continues to emphasize the demand for “retiree” offerings and it shows the selling appeal for Friedrich designs.

The Buxton duo again  – 1/188 The Esplanade with waterfront views but unlike the Golden Mile also some traffic noise – bought for $3,500,000.

And finally also Buxton in Brighton – David Hart got away a very popular 62 Dendy when we  went through it (but for us main road, south facing , tight block) for a smidge under $2,950,000. And increase of just over 28% from the depths of the GFC,  2 years ago.

Feeling the heat: John Clarkson (Hocking Stuart) at 12 Maroona Rd, Brighton. Bought after for $1,580,000, 1 bidder, crowd of 45

Key Points:

• We covered 8 auctions in Bayside – not one was bought under the hammer but half sold after auction.
• The biggest sale was recorded at 4/23 St Ninians, Brighton (Stewart Lopez of Kay and Burton), which was bought for $4,825,000.
• The biggest pass in was at 29 Sussex, Brighton (Greg Costello, RT Edgar), $3,350,000, no bidders

Agent Q & A: If you were a buyer, how would you buy a house over the next two months, during the Christmas break?
Errol Driver, Hodges, Beaumaris:“Assuming we are buying a residential property in the suburbs (not holiday area along the coast) my impression is that there continues to be a growing list of houses for sale, including a fairly high number of passed in auctions. KNOWLEDGE is the key to the subject! Study the recent price trends in the suburbs you are interested in – put the effort into visiting all the open homes offering the requirements you have & follow auction sales results so you can make an informed decision on the amount you are prepared to offer.Forget asking prices & if you have sold & are cashed up understand your money now has REAL purchasing power that wasn’t there early this year. All sellers have different circumstances which won’t be apparent if selling through a good agent, however be prepared to make the offer at YOUR price, in writing and with no conditions and you could be surprised! Perhaps not bargain basement, but a number of very good buys may exist over the break. Good luck & Season’s Greetings!”

Tim Wilson and Jeremy Fox get ready to do battle at 2 Bromley Toorak, but in the end there were not in the trenches and they stood there as generals and watched 3 bidders slug it out to $5,600,000 - $800,000 over reserve.

Week Ending November 27th:

The high end ($3m+) which like the proverbial brides nightie (not sure if I can say that) is up and down at the drop of a hat. A fortnight ago it was up and last week it was down – this week it was up and in a big way – below are some of the results.

Highlights:

• Toorak 2 Bromley with Jeremy Fox of RT Edgar for 5,600,000 – 3 bidders (see report)
• Hampton 3 Lorraine for over $3,000,000 with Nick Johnstone of JP Dixon (Expression of Interest)
• Armadale Adelaide (Off Market)
• Hawthorn 41 Wattle Road – good home on the market for some time bought for well over $5,000,000 through Paul Keane Jellis Craig
• South Yarra 2/155 Domain Road Marcus Chiminello of Marshall White bought for in excess of $7,500,000 or $20,000 per square metre  (Off Market)
• Toorak 88 Mathoura Road for $6,500,000 bought before – also Marcus Chiminello
• Armadale 12 Munro with Tim Derham, passed in at auction last weekend at $3,000,000 and has been bought afterwards.

$3m+ not so highlights:

• Brighton 12a Manor: Passed In $3,800,000: Zero Bidders
• Hawthorn 5 Yarra: Passed In $4,500,000: Zero Bidders
• South Yarra 16 William: Passed In $4,200,000: Zero Bidders
• Canterbury 35 Logan: Passed In for $2,860,000: Zero bidders

South Melbourne 9 Anderson: An exciting auction which had a buzz from the crowd, trams, birds and sounds of people playing sport down the street at the Melbourne Sports And Aquatic Centre. Geoff Cayzer was auctioneer and, although soft spoken, he was very entertaining with his humour and pre-auction speech. This lightened the atmosphere and allowed two bidders to fight it out after Mr Cayzer's opening bid of $2,850,000. The battle wasn't long though as after some 5 bids the hammer was brought down and the property sold for $3,250,000, which brought cheers and jubilation from the winning bidder's party. A great, fun and entertaining auction to watch.

Week Ending November 20th:

This market seems clear as mud in terms of short term directional pointers. Some good ones sold, some good ones didn’t and all on a turnover down on this time last year and down on September of this year. But the market hasn’t stopped completely in its tracks eg 50 Charles Kew with Paul Keane of Jellis Craig – going nowhere for some time then some interest, then bang a boardroom auction and well north of $4,200,000 was achieved on the night. On the quiet side, a second off market north of $13,000,000 in recent times – actually it was over $15million and in establishment Toorak – Mike Gibson from Kay and Burton the selling agent.

$3M+ Highlights

• Malvern 116 Stanhope: Paul Keane of Jellis Craig. Bought for just under $3,500,000
• South Melbourne 9 Anderson: Geoff Cayzer. Bought under the hammer for $3,250,000: 2 bidders
• Ivanhoe 9 Nyorie: David Oster of Jellis Craig. Bought after auction for $3,100,000: 2 bidders

$3M+ not so Highlights:

• East Melbourne 105 George: Passed In on a vendor bid for $4,500,000
• Malvern 1 Wilks: Passed In on a vendor bid for $3,000,000
• Armadale 12 Munro: Passed In on a vendor bid for $3,000,000

Great Expectations but in the end it was more like Bleak House as 50 Hotham Melbourne East failed to sell under the hammer. Passed In for $7,000,000. Glen Coutinho of Hocking Stuart

Week Ending November 13th:

………But this new state of affairs does not apply so much to the $3m+ market which was a little less shiny today after shining like a beacon 7 days ago. In fact there were a number of significant pass-ins at this level this weekend.

So in a nutshell: last week’s doom and gloom on low quality stock and a negative feel mid-week at open-for-inspections was followed by a bit of a bounce-back this weekend – with more homes selling than expected. But that’s not to say it’s a strong sellers market by any stretch of the imagination. At present the market is, in our opinion, between cool and warm, depending on the quality of the stock. We await with interest next week’s instalment as to where our late Spring market is heading.

Highlights

• 32 Linlithgow, Toorak (Jeremy Fox of RT Edgar) was the biggest sale of the day (see report below)
• 4 Snowden, Canterbury (James Tostevin and Duane Wolowiec of Marshall White), Bought after at an undisclosed price of more than $3,000,000.
• 35 Cole St Brighton (Ian Jackson of Kay and Burton), Bought at auction for a shade over $3,500,000 – after not selling at an Expressions of Interest campaign earlier in the year

Lowlights

• The weather
• Biggest Pass-In was at 50 Hotham East Melbourne, a great home with an 800+ James Rating. It failed to attract any bidding near the reserve and was passed in at $7,000,000
• $3M+ pass-ins at 188 The Esplanade Brighton, 3 Buley Hawthorn East, 18 Heyington and 12 Merriwee Toorak

Camberwell 18 Currajong: 3 bidders, 3 advocates and one great auction: Maurice Di Marzio: Bought under the hammer for $3,375,000

Week Ending November 6th:

What a difference a month and some increased stock levels make. If you have a look at our $3m section in October and compare it to our September report you will see a big difference in activity, especially when you consider the market had a clean run in October with no election and limited footy interruptions, and had five

Click on video to see $3m auctions live

auction Saturdays. This market is as fickle as the horse race we love to watch. In Winter this market was down, in September it definitely perked up and now the $3m+ and off-markets would appear to be edging downwards again. But again the statistics are hiding the full story: there were in fact a few sales over this level we have been asked not to report on, and we ourselves have purchased four off-markets over $1million in the last month, in Brighton, Clifton Hill, Hawthorn and Caulfield. Plus look at this weekend’s $3m+ results! The fact is, there is still plenty of activity – just not as public as in September. There are good homes available for sale off market if you know where to look.

• Elwood 45 Dickens: Jason Scillio: Under Hammer: $3,535,000:  3 bidders
  A large crowd gathered in the front garden of this magnificent property to hear Jason Scillio provide a well prepared preamble prior to inviting bids from a large crowd on this beautiful afternoon. After the usual hesitation, strong bidding emerged from three buyers and it was on the market at $3,450,000. The house was soon bought with a strong bid $3,535,000. (David James)

• Carlton North 810 Drummond:  Tom Roberts:  Under Hammer  $3,450,000:  3 bidders
  What a home. This is the best example of the saying ‘don’t judge a book by its cover’.  It is an ugly duckling from the street, but when you walk through the door you’re hit with one of the most stunning living area renovations I have seen in Inner Melbourne. The auction itself started with a pretend bid at $2,000,000 that was immediately countered by auctioneer Tom Roberts with a vendor bid at $3,000,000 and she took off from there. Three bidders and on the market at $3,300,000 before settling at $3,450,000 in front of a crowd of 125.

• Toorak 6 Benson: Gowan Stubbings: Bought around $3,000,000: 3 bidders
  A great auction to watch. Auctioneer Gowan Stubbings led the way, offering a vendor bid of $2,400,000 after a member of the crowd offered an initial bid of $2,350,000. With three bidders overall, it became a battle between two very confident, strong parties, both determined to fight it out to the very end. One bidder offered increments of $10,000 and even $100,000, while the other settled on $1000 increments each time. Ultimately, the $1000 bidder won, walking away with the property for an undisclosed amount close to $3,000,000. A very entertaining auction with a crowd of around 60. (Jen Milligan)

• Some solid results outside Saturday’s auction:
  Toorak 63 St Georges: Andrew Baines of Kay and Burton: Expression of Interest for just under $8 million. Went through this home and tennis court.It had a good feel and, just as the ad says, an exclusive street address. At around $4,000 per sqm it was a win for the buyer and seller.
  Two blocks of flats sold at mid week auctions: South Yarra 28 Tivoli ($4,825,000)  Philippe Batters: 46 Ulupna; Ormond ($3,700,000) Andrew Chisholm.
  Brighton 11 Kent Campbell Cooney was bought post auction for $4,100,000, which put south-facing, non beachfront land on the Golden Mile at $3,800 per sqm

• It was gratifying to see the number of professional advocates acting for buying clients this weekend. The Bidderbuzz auction at Currajong auction had three advocates, and there was one each on Benson, Drummond, Elwood. While the advocate didn’t win the chocolates for their clients every time, at least it shows more $1m, $2m, and $3m+ buyers are making informed decisions.

Hey Maaate! Brighton, 532 New St, Nick Johnstone (JP Dixon); Bought under the hammer, $1,212,500, 4 bidders

Key Points:

• With 4 of the 7 auctions we attended selling under the hammer, Bayside showed a slight improvement this weekend, although overall clearance rates are still in the doldrums with only 1 in 3 selling, even after some time for post auction negotiations
• Price check for south-facing land on 78 Bay St Brighton just near New St (Damian Moore – Ray White) – $1600 per sq metre – See report below.
• Still 10 sales over $1m in the last week in Brighton and Brighton East

Off Market and $3m+

• 35 Cole St, Brighton (Ian Jackson of Kay and Burton), Bought at auction for a shade over $3,500,000
• 188 The Esplanade, Brighton, Passed in over $3,000,000
• Big off-market sale for Kay and Burton at 1 Holmwood, a new build for $4,325,000

Graphs:
This weekend’s clearance rate is 32%, not as indicated on the graph to the right. The rest of the graphs report accurately.

Biggest Sale: Brighton, 47 Murphy St, John Clarkson (Hocking Stuart); Under the hammer, $1,685,000, 3 bidders
“Auctioneer John Clarkson kicked things off out in the rain with a vendor bid of $1,500,000 and it looked like it was going to be a quiet auction. But that couldn’t have been further from the truth. Soon three bidders had entered the mix, with two of those fighting it out tooth and nail until the very end. After the half time break at $1,575,000, there was rapid-fire bidding between the remaining two parties. And with increments of $5000, then $1000, Mr Clarkson wasn’t the only one who was spinning! Eventually the hammer came down at $1,685,000 – a great result for Mr Clarkson and the Hocking Stuart team, and of course, the happy buyer.” (Jen Milligan)

Biggest Pass In: Brighton,  18 Bent St,  John Clarkson (Hocking Stuart); Passed in, $1,710,000, 2 bidders
“John Clarkson led proceedings, kicking things off with a vendor bid of $1,650,000. Two bidders entered the fray, but failed to bring in the results. Passed in at $1,710,000 in front of a small crowd dof 30 people.” (Kristen Hatt)

Bidderbuzz Auction: Brighton, 78 Bay St, Damian Moore (Ray White); Under the hammer, $1,430,000, 4 bidders
“Under cold, drizzly skies, Damian Moore soon got the bidders coming out from under the huge tree in the front garden of this mature family home. With more than 4 bidders vying for this desirable property, it was quickly declared on the market at $1,370,000. More brisk bidding followed and a good sale was achieved at $1,430,000.” (David James)

Agent Q & A: How much value do you put on land? How much on the building? And finally, how much is to do with emotion?
Robin Parker, RT Edgar, Brighton: “We all should understand that the land on which our real estate sits is the foundation, both physically and fiscally. As time passes the land value increases and the improvements on the land devalues. However, if you continue to update and maintain those improvements you can in many instances keep your investment on an even keel. Th golden rule when purchasing, I think, is to buy in the area you like, buy the most land you can afford and seek to buy a house that requires the least amount of work. And, if you are buying at close to land value, then the house is a bonus. Finally – emotion. If it is in the position you love, it’s the land size you need and can afford and it’s the home that you desire., that’s when emotion kicks in. Think long term. Think with your head. But let your heart have some say as well.”

Results:

We only buy homes

Port Melbourne, 272 Esplanade East, Kaine Lanyon, BenMac. Where have all the bidders gone? Don't know Kaine - they weren't in Stonnington either. Passed in, $1,220,000, 2 bidders.

Key Points:

• None of the five auctions we attended sold under the hammer -  one sold before
• Last Sunday, 55 Blessington St Kilda, Graeme Wilson, a ripper home, sold at auction for just over $3,500,000

Biggest Pass In: St Kilda East, 7 Pilley St, Jeremy Fox, RT Edgar, $2,300,000, 1 bidder
“Auctioneer Jeremy Fox gave an honest and graceful description of the pretty East St Kilda home on this cold, dark Saturday afternoon in Melbourne. The façade of the property was truly superb and Mr. Fox alluded to this several times in his pre-auction pitch. Deciding to wait for an opening bid from the crowd, Mr. Fox decided against making a vendor bid to start proceedings. Having suggested an opening of between $2,400,000 and $2,500,000 and receiving no bids, Mr. Fox returned inside the home to consult his vendor. Upon his return, and calling it down twice more, a gentleman in the crowd offered an opening bid of $2,300,000. This was the only bid made for the property, and Mr Fox eventually passed it in at that price. There were 60 or so people that made up the somewhat vibrant crowd; half of whom observed proceedings from inside the front yard, while the other half watched from outside the premises.” (Daniel Ehrenreich)

Bidderbuzz Auction: Port Melbourne, 272 Esplanade East, Kaine Lanyon, BenMac, Passed In, 2 bidders
“The drizzle did not deter the crowd of 50 assembled to witness this Port Melbourne auction. The onlookers, many of whom were neighbours, were chatty as they awaited the commencement of the auction. Auctioneer, Kaine Lanyon was business-like in his preamble and used humour throughout proceedings. With no opening bid forthcoming from the crowd, Mr Lanyon opened with a vendor bid of $1,150,000 and with some encouragement two bidders emerged to compete for the property. Bidding reached $1,220,000 and stopped at this figure and the property was passed in.” (Kate Agnoleto)

Agent Q & A:

What are stock levels looking like post Melbourne Cup Weekend?
Damian O’Sullivan, BenMac, Albert Park: “Supply appears to be somewhat tight post Melbourne Cup Weekend which will no doubt disappoint many buyers desperately hoping to acquire a new home Pre-Christmas. That said, we find that many vendors often leave real estate plans to the last minute, not necessarily by design, but simply due to the fact that time catches up with them. If we see a last minute surge of homes for sale, I will not be surprised at all.”

David Lack, Biggin Scott, Port Melbourne: “Stock levels post Melbourne Cup are looking very positive, with lots of auctions already booked for the last two weekends of November. Many vendors have chosen to auction prior to December if they can, and the State Election scheduled for the 27^th November has not had an impact.”

Nick Yannopoulos, RT Edgar, Albert Park: “I’m not sure if the two grand finals had an impact be we are certainly seeing a bit of a late run this year. We are finding that stock levels will be very similar to last month, in particular the 27^th November and 4^th December being busy weekends. Hopefully if interest rates stay on hold, it should be a good finish to the end of the year.”

Kaine Lanyon, BenMac, Albert Park: “So far we are definitely finding stock levels for post Melbourne Cup Weekend looking on the thin side compared with previous Spring selling seasons, no doubt the State Election on the 27^th November hasn’t helped. That being said, the quality of the listings appears to be solid. Given this we urge buyers to act on properties they like, as the choice is a little limited.”

Results:

South Yarra: 7 Motherwell, Andrew Macmillan (BenMac) was the only Stonnington auction we attended on Super Saturday that actually sold. Bought after $2,050,000, one bidder

Key Points:

• 7 of the 9 Stonnington auctions we attended had no bidders at all, while the remaining two had only one bidder each and this was on a good quality stock day.
• While there were 18 buys over $1 million, remember that $1 million is entry level here.

Why is the Stonnington market so poor?

Our left-field and unscientific opinion is that this is the most mistrusted $M+ market in Melbourne, and that buyers have had enough of the deceit when it comes to how a property is represented in terms of price. Some serious malcontent between buyers and selling agents won’t be helping either. (We will except Benmac on these grounds, who do quote and play fairly.) Contrast this situation with that in Boroondara, where Jellis Craig under Scott Patterson, Richard James and Richard Earle have re-engaged with the buying public in a significant way, post GFC, with great results. So there may be a lesson here for Stonnington agents. We would advise Stonnington sellers to check out how many bids you have on the table under your current quoting regime.

Biggest Buy we covered: South Yarra, 7 Motherwell, Andrew MacMillan, BenMac, Bought After Auction, $2,050,000, 1 bidder

“The small crowd gathered and the neighbours peeked out of their flats to watch the auction at 7 Motherwell Street. Auctioneer Andrew Macmillan attempted to extract an opening bid by suggesting to the crowd that in order to keep warm they needed to raise their hands and put in a bid. However this failed to warm anyone up and he was forced to put in a vendor bid of $1,950,000. This was met by a positive response from one member of the crowd who put in a bid of $1,970,000. However this was all the action for the day, and the property was passed in to the lone bidder. The property was bought afterwards for $2,050,000.” (Joshua Bong)

Biggest Pass In: Toorak, 3 Kingsley, Jeremy Fox, RT Edgar, Passed In $4,000,000, no bidders
“There is no doubt that this is one of the quietest and most sought after courts in Toorak. However, as auctioneer Jeremy Fox found out, clearly not appealing enough to sell at auction on Saturday. Mr Fox was quick to make a vendor bid of $4,000,000 which failed to ignite any interest and the property was passed in. Afterwards, a neighbour offered a gin and tonic – they certainly are civilised in Toorak.” (Guy Angwin)

Agent Q & A:

What are stock levels like post Melbourne Cup Weekend?

Brad Fleming, JP Dixon, Toorak: “I believe stock levels have increased in the past few weeks. Buyer demand for quality properties outweighs the properties actually listed and currently advertised.  It is important as a buyer to understand that many of us agents have ‘quiet’ listings that have not yet been advertised for sale, therefore calling agents directly would be recommended.”

Brad Cooper, Jellis Craig, Glen Iris: “It’s definitely picking up at the moment.  Both the 27th November and 4th December are shaping up to be really big days.”

Jeremy Fox, RT Edgar, Toorak: ”What we expect up until Melbourne Cup is lots of sales, as this high level of stock we are now seeing is going to disappear very quickly. At the moment we only have one auction listed  in December, consequently anyone looking for a home will have to wait until Feb and March of next year for more stock to become available.”

Results:

Good Karma: Karl Fitch (Noel Jones) at 19 Karma Ave, Malvern East. Bought under the hammer for $1,241,000 and a whopping 5 bidders

Key Points:

• Of the eight Stonnington auctions we attended, only two were bought under the hammer – 19 Karma Ave, Malvern East (Karl Fitch, Noel Jones), for $1,241,000, and 1 Nareeb Crt, Toorak, (Jeremy Fox, RT Edgar), for $2,710,000.
• Karma Ave had five bidders, but there were only five bidders in total across the remaining seven auctions we attended.
• Biggest sale of the day was 1 Nareeb Crt, Toorak (see details below)

Biggest sale, Toorak, 1 Nareeb Crt, Jeremy Fox, RT Edgar, Under the Hammer, $2,710,000, 2 bidders
“It had been raining all night and there wasn’t much hope that any auctions this weekend would be conducted outside. But, in what was probably an omen, as soon as Jeremy Fox commenced the auction at 1 Nareeb Court Toorak the clouds parted and the sun came out. Two bidders emerged to compete for this 60s home and after two breaks and some 18 bids, the property was for bought for $2,710,000.” (Guy Angwin)

BidderBuzz Auction of the Day: Malvern East, 19 Karma Ave, Karl Fitch, Noel Jones, Under the Hammer, $1,241,000, 5 bidders
“Often before auctions people come up to me and ask me what I am doing and as a result we begin a conversation. On this particular occasion, as it turned out, I had a conversation with a lady who was well connected with the home. Her father had built the home back in 1929/1930 as a family home for her (6 months old at time) and her mother to move in to. She was sad to see the home go but was philosophical about the need to move on. From that time on I had an empathy with the home and its outcome. And what an outcome it was – some 30 bids and five bidders who worked with the auctioneer, the lucky bidder purchasing the home for $1,241,000 to start their own history in this much loved home.” (Guy Angwin)

Biggest Off Market & Private Sales

• 98 Finch St, Malvern East, Nicole Gleeson, Kay & Burton, undisclosed – click here to see our $3m+ section for more details
• 20 Howitt St, South Yarra, Tim Wilson, RT Edgar, undisclosed- click here to see our our $3m+ section for more details

Agent Q & A

What advice would you give a buyer wanting to purchase a property between now and Melbourne Cup Weekend?
Justin Long, Marshall White, Armadale:“Enjoy the opportunity to select from a wider range of properties than has been available for some time. Be selective but if you find a home you really want, go for it. Don’t risk losing it for a couple of percent. The current “supply dream” will turn very quickly into a drought within the next 6 weeks and you may need to wait until next year to purchase.”
Brad Fleming, JP Dixon, Toorak:”Buyers who are wanting to purchase a property, between now and the Melbourne Cup, need to be ready to make a quick decision – especially with Private Treaty.  This is the time when an additional group of buyers travel to Melbourne with one purpose only: to buy a property for either investment, job relocation and university enrolments. And they leave only once have secured their property.  These buyers are well researched from the use of the internet, and they make appointments to inspect properties prior to arriving in Melbourne. So all they have to do is to choose a suitable property then buy immediately – with limited time being the greatest motivation.”
Mark Wridgway, RT Edgar, Toorak:”The same advice I would give any buyer: if the property suits your requirements (that is, if you can tick 7 out of 10 boxes) then you should buy it. Stock levels are at their highest now and heading towards Cup weekend, so maximum choice for the year is now. If you can’t tick 7 out of 10, then wait. Good Luck.”
Daniel Wheeler, Marshall White, Toorak:”If you’re looking to secure a property over the coming weeks, do so with confidence. Housing prices stem from consumer confidence and simple economics, and both factors are indicating that it’s time to act. With the current level of property available and the immediate lack of properties for sale beyond Melbourne Cup weekend (compared with previous Spring markets), the next two weeks are certainly an opportune time to buy.  Buyer sentiment is not the same as it was last month, or even earlier this year. That’s a good thing; you will see that properties prices will be ‘fair’. Why wait until stock levels drop? – as there will still be the same amount of buyers; just more competition.”

Brighton, 8 Windermere: A lot of people turned up to do nothing. Passed In on a vendor bid.

Key Points:

• We monitored six auctions across Bayside, with only one selling under the hammer.
• A massive six bidders at 34 Regent St, Brighton East – but no bidders at any of the other auctions we attended.
• Off Market at 19 Victoria, Brighton was bought quietly during the week through Julian Augustini of Hodges for just under $3,000,000
• Counterpoint was again the low stock quality on offer this weekend
  

BidderBuzz Auction of the Day: Brighton East, 39 Regent St, Stewart Lopez, Kay & Burton, Bought Under the Hammer, undisclosed, 6 bidders
“It was cold and the crowd was small – but the action was hot. Six bidders jumped in for this classy block of land and auctioneer Stewart Lopez was rubbing his hands as much in anticipation of the final result as to keep warm. There were still five bidders above $1,800,000 so the final number was market. Well done to the buyer – a good block with a classy shell. Five more bidders still looking for another in Brighton East.” (Kristen Hatt)

Private sales above $3m

• 7 Maysbury Ave, Brighton, David Wilson, JP Dixon, undisclosed

Agent Q & A:

What advice would you give a buyer wanting to purchase a property between now and Melbourne Cup Weekend?
David Hart, Buxton, Brighton:“From a stock point of view in Brighton, buyers will probably have their largest selection of property over the next few weekends. The weekend of the 23rd/24th October in particular, will be a huge auction weekend. I would advise buyers to have a good go at what is out there now, as long as the property suits most of their requirements. The majority of vendors selling now are doing so for genuine reasons, and we don’t expect the traditional late surge of property coming on post Melbourne Cup.”
Sam Paynter, Hodges, Brighton:”The Spring rush from Grand Final to Melbourne Cup is a great time to be in the market. It’s currently a good commercial environment where vendors in general are being pragmatic about price and want to meet the market and sell. With higher volumes of property available it always pays to attend as many auctions as possible for properties that are in your range. Be ready to get involved! Do your home work, have a limit and bid! If you buy a house the hard work will have paid off! Don’t lose heart if the price goes too high! If the property passes in and the price is in your range be prepared to negotiate.”
Robin Parker, RT Edgar, Brighton:”Buying a home to live in, as opposed to an investment, is a huge decision. The endless searching and often the disappointment can shatter even the hardest of characters. Often you will meet buyers  who say ‘’we have just started looking, so we want to look a bit longer before we buy’’…However, “Time and Tide waits for no Man.” [or Woman] If it feels right, do it.”

Land Value
A couple of land value sites in North Brighton – Male and Asling Streets – failed to attract attention at auction. Unlike the Regent, Brighton East sale which puts quality wide and north facing land around $2,000 per square metre

Backward bidding is about “throwing stones back”, it’s about fighting back, it’s about saying enough is enough.

We have the greatest respect for the professional abilities of agents at Marshall White, Kay and Burton, RT Edgar and many other agents. But we have to be upfront; as much as we support them and the roles they play – we do not support their quoting regimes especially if attached to a Clayton’s Reserve strategy.

So enter our Backward bidding strategy – our partial solution until the industry acts.

Backward bidding takes place on auction day, and it goes something like this.

• Prior to the auction we ask if there is a reserve – if there is no reserve why bid? First right of refusal – refusal of what – there is no reserve.
• If we know we have a potential Clayton’s Reserve and we know the agent’s plan is to pass the property in, we bid a sensible opening bid – we do this for a reason.
• Next we ask if it is on the market
• We expect a ‘No’ – because we know the agent has been giving a bulls..t quote
• If we get a  ‘No’ then
• We put in a lower bid. This creates angst amongst some auctioneers as they stand there reciting the auction rules, the ones by the way they are trying to abuse. They tell you that you can’t withdraw a bid. But we are not, we are placing a new one, it’s just that it’s lower. They then tell you they don’t have to accept a bid, which is true.

We don’t fight back verbally – we remain silent

This usually leads to some public uncomfortableness (please we are against any form of threatening or inappropriate behaviour and do not support it under any circumstances), and when things settle one of the following usually happens

• Acceptance of our lower bid by the auctioneer
• The auctioneer refusing to take the new bid and passing the property in – to nobody
• A vendor bid
• Somebody else bidding

Our next response if the auction continues and we are above the quote is to bid like this:

• “If I bid another $20,000 will it be on the market?”
• The usual response is either rude or friendly such as: I’ll ask if you bid that.
• After a brief visit inside the auctioneer comes back and tells us yes or “we are so close”.

Right or wrong is not our issue – a vendor can ask whatever they want – what we try and do is best manage situations where the vendor won’t tell you what they really want as they hide behind a “bulls..t auction quote and Clayton’s Reserve strategy”

There is nothing wrong with a selling agent trying to get more money. That’s their job. Why we backward bid is because some agents and vendors in trying to get more money go beyond what is acceptable – in our opinion they operate in a dubious manner.

But I digress, let’s presume it is passed–in to us. Then what?

We have different pass-in strategies depending on:

1)      The reserve the agent has told us during the campaign

2)      What the agent tells us it is now

3)      How many other bidders there are

All these are of course under the overriding umbrella of clients’ risk v reward instructions.

We will forward bid and then backward bid, or just forward bid or just backward bid, or in fact do nothing depending on our clients’ instructions and vendor responses. A number of times at pass-ins we have bid below the pass-in figure. Yes we have bought homes below higher offers and pass-in figures and yes we have bought them above pass-in figures.

As buyers you need to be prepared to fight, when circumstances force this. If your only negotiation technique is the kangaroo frozen in the headlights technique, or the Manuel from Fawlty Towers technique where you just keep going up and up in order to please then you will have issues. If you are up against the best exponents of Clayton’s Reserves, you will end up paying an incredibly high price – when it was not fair to do so – it is not fair if you had bid, won first right of refusal and then had not been told the real reserve or that reserve did not reasonably coincide with the quote.

Please if you don’t bid sensibly at auction, this is an EOI negotiation or private/off market sale without a price or bulls..t quote then we totally support vendor open slather – it’s caveat emptor all the way. The “floor, stairs, then new level again, floors, stairs, then new level again” price ramping technique is not only brilliant when done well, it’s fair and would be what I would want my agent to do if I was selling in these circumstances.

After the initially chest pumping on backward bidding you should expect a certain level of discomfort.

The fact is that some agents will want to break you, sell it to another buyer given half the chance just so as you learn a lesson. After all you have attacked not only the bulls..t quoting and Clayton’s reserve but you have also attacked their ego. Please backward bidding is heavy stuff, just as a seller may lose your best offer, you may very well lose what you wanted to buy – you are playing for keeps, so use it in the right circumstances.

Backward bidding, like some quoting regimes and Clayton’s reserves is heavy, heavy stuff.

This is our last article in the current series on Negotiation – we plan to do another series early in 2011. For more in this Negotiation series refer to the Articles section on the homepage of website. From the week after Grand Final and will be starting a series on Values and Prices.

We only buy homes

Malvern 24 Somers: Jeremy Fox of RT Edgar: Bought for $6,160,000 under the hammer: 3 bidders: Crowd of 90.

Special Report on the $3m market: The $3m+ is back, after its self induced May hiccup which lead to a very quiet winter.

There have been over 50 buys in the month of September at this level and the buyers are coming from all quarters. Lets pick one of the segments – around $4million. We have bought 3 homes at this specific level in the last few weeks: all were classic period homes on land sizes over 1000 square metres  – two were post auction (eg after a pass-in) and one was off market (Black St Brighton). However the interesting thing was the buyer profile. One was a change of life family; one had a growing family and needed space and one was an expat family returning from overseas. If you look at our client lists this is a fairly accurate representation of whom we are looking for. In the last case – expats returning from overseas – Brighton high end agent Peter Bourbaud thinks “this group will push the market along for the next few years, after a couple of very quiet years from the expat community”. We concur, we conducted very little in business terms last year for expats, however there has been a distinct pick up in action from expats returning home in 2010.

The James September $3m+ Report, with all reported $3M+ boughts and solds can be viewed from the home page (next to market insight and below Buyer Masterclass) or click here

If you are new to the $3m market you may find these charts below (using 2007 to 2010 VG, REIV and James Databases) of some value as they help to show how the overall $3m+ market works.

• The two powerhouse $3m+ suburbs are Brighton and Toorak (see 2009 results graphed below); however they behave quiet differently from each other (see median graph). But more on that another time.
• More $3M+ is bought later in the year than early. (2009 graphed below)
• There are some real name streets around and there are some falsies (where you pay top dollar and stand out like a beacon)
• Less than a quarter (25%) of $3m+ homes sell under the hammer at auction (click on September Graph below)
• A lot more activity is off market (not advertised) at this $3m+ level than any other price point eg sub $3m.

Please click on the any of the graphs below to bring them up to full size

Agent Comments on the $3m+ market

• “Prior to the school holiday period there was some renewed strength in $3m+ market due to stabilisation of things after the election and the shortage of good quality homes. With the spring market in full swing it will be very interesting to see what happens with the increase of volume, but if the enquiry rates are anything to go buy October will be a strong months of sales.” Andrew Hayne of Marshall White Malvern
• “The 3 mill plus market is strong, we are expecting a big finish to spring in the 3 plus market for good family homes.” Nick Johnstone of JP Dixon Brighton
  
• “There seems to have been a resurgence of buyer enquiry for the upper end properties recently.  It will be interesting to see if this follows through once we see increased stock levels after the school holidays and round 2 of the Grand Final.” Julian Augustini of Hodges Brighton
• Andrew Baynes from Kay and Burton South Yarra “Last Monday was my busiest auction sign up day for me in 10 years”

We only buy homes

Crowd moving into position at 49 Harcourt St Hawthorn East - Bought Afterwards in excess of $7.2million. James Tostevin of Marshall White.

Another strong (well stronger than Winter) fortnight for auctions and private sales over $3m. Rather than wax lyrical lets look at some facts. See below for results, reports, ratings and analysis.

42 Wattle Valley Road Canterbury: Richard Winneke of Jellis Craig

Full Auction Report: Click here
http://www.marketnews.com.au/auction-reviews/8807/42-Wattle_Valley-Road-CANTERBURY

Auctioneer Jeremy Fox presiding in front of a crowd of 90 people at 24 Somers Ave Malvern. On the market at $5,650,000 and selling strongly under the hammer with Bidderman at 3.

Full Auction Report click here:
http://www.marketnews.com.au/auction-reviews/8705/24-Somers-Avenue-MALVERN

4 Forrest Court Toorak: Peter Kudelka Kay and Burton

Full Auction Report: Click here
http://www.marketnews.com.au/auction-reviews/8829/4-Forrest-Court-TOORAK

49 Harcourt Hawthorn East: Sold After in excess of $7,200,000

Full Auction Report click here:
http://www.james.net.au/rating/49-Harcourt-Street-HAWTHORN_EAST

1 Myamyn St Armadale: Andrew Macmillan of Benmac: $3,215,000: 2 bidders

Full Auction Report click here:
http://www.marketnews.com.au/auction-reviews/8670/1-Myamyn-Street-ARMADALE/

6 Head St Brighton: Jeremy Fox of RT Edgar: Around $7,000,000

Full Rating click here:
http://www.james.net.au/rating/6-Head-Street-BRIGHTON

Sold Afterwards in excess of $3,600,000: John Bongiorno: Marshall White: 3 bidders

Full Video Auction Report: Click here
http://www.marketnews.com.au/video/?vid=305

19 Acland St South Yarra: Greg Herman RT Edgar: 4 bidders: Bought under the hammer: $3,600,000

Full Auction Report: Click here
http://www.marketnews.com.au/auction-reviews/6886/19-Acland-Street-SOUTH_YARRA/

44 Elizabeth St Malvern: Gerald Delany and Michael Armstrong of Kay and Burton: Passed In at $3,250,000: 0 bidders

Full Auction Report: Click here
http://www.james.net.au/rating/44-Elizabeth-Street-MALVERN

106 St Georges Rd Toorak: Mike Gibson: Kay and Burton: 0 bidders: Passed In $5,500,000

Full Auction Report: Click here
http://www.marketnews.com.au/auction-reviews/8555/106-St_Georges-Road-TOORAK/

61 North Road Brighton: Nick Johnstone of JP Dixon:

Full Auction Report: Click here
http://www.marketnews.com.au/auction-reviews/7552/61-North-Road-BRIGHTON

22 Tennyson Brighton: JP Dixon - Marcus Gollings. Believed to be in excess of $5,000,000. Private Sale

22 Tennyson St Brighton:

• 16,640sqft/1,546sqm
• floodlit tennis court and
• heated pool
• 5.5 bathroom floorplan
• hydronic heating
• space for six cars including triple garaging behind the two sets of auto-gates.

63 Walpole St Kew: James Tostevin: Marshall White: Believed to be in excess of $3,000,000. Sold Before Auction.

1a Como Toorak: Over $6,000,000 Greg Herman of RT Edgar: Private Sale

Andrew Hayne (Marshall White) basks in the Spring sunshine - and the sale of 24 Netherlee St, Glen Iris. Bought under the hammer, $2,660,000, five bidders.

Key Points:

• We covered seven auctions in Stonnington on Saturday. Of those, four sold under the hammer and two after auction.
• Big crowds across the board, all auctions had in excess of 50 people.

Biggest Auction of the Day: 24 Somers Ave, Malvern, Jeremy Fox, RT Edgar, Under the Hammer, $6,160,000.
“The sunfilled courtyard seemed a perfect setting for the Somers Avenue auction, with the lovely weather attracting a generous crowd of interested parties and onlookers alike. No initial bids when asked.  Auctioneer Jeremy Fox went inside to check with his vendors on two occasions. There was a feeling of anticipation amongst the crowd, until the property was declared ‘on the market’ at $5,650,000.  A real buzz.  Fast and furious bidding between two bidders to the end.  The look of relief was evident on the face of the successful bidder! An exciting end.  A truly impressive auction result!” (Nikki Hills)

Bidderbuzz Auction of the Day: 24 Netherlee St, Glen Iris, Andrew Hayne, Marshall White, Bought Under the Hammer, $2,660,000, 5 bidders
“With the sun poking through on this mild Saturday morning, auctioneer Andrew Hayne kicked off proceedings with a vendor bid of $1,800,000. Within seconds, two bidders began battling for the property and they were joined by several more moments later. There was a jovial atmosphere in the crowd of around 100 people as Mr. Hayne poked fun at the bidders. The bidding came down to two parties who went back and forth, and who alone raised the price by $400,000. There were 5 bidding parties, but only two at the end. The Property was sold for $2,660,000 under hammer, which appeared to be above expectations. The gentleman with the final bid received rousing applause from the crowd and congratulations from his main rival.” (Daniel Ehrenreich)

Agent Q & A: What are your views on pricing?

Andrew Hayne, Marshall White, Armadale:“My view is that across the board all homes have to be competitively priced in order to gain maximum interest from as many buyers as possible. The more buyers that are interested in the property, the greater the opportunity of getting a better price.”

John Bongiorno, Marshall White:“Good family homes always sell well – floor plans can be fixed. It provides exciting opportunities. Always boils down to the position of the property, orientation and workability. People nowadays have a lot of imagination. A lot of houses get rid of the small rooms and now have extended living areas, such as kitchens and family rooms. People aren’t afraid to do the renovations. So long as location is good, people are willing to buy and are happy to renovate if necessary.”

James Connell, Marshall White : “Still good demand for quality positions. If the property has a poor plan and poor location, the market judges it harshly.”

Clearance Rates & Monitor Table:

Forward Auction Bookings:

We only buy homes

Buying a home is a business interaction – and business interactions involve dealing with different business cultures. So just as business people need to find the most appropriate way to interact with people of different cultures, so too do home buyers have to find the right way to deal with selling agents.

There is an overall culture among selling agents and there are many sub-cultures within different agencies, just as there are within cities, football clubs, even families. Understanding, and working with, these sub-cultures usually yields better results than fighting against them.

A first step to gaining an insight into agent culture is to consider the overall big picture: that agents represent sellers first and foremost (and, despite the bad press agents sometimes get, most of the good agents do really do this).

Taking this one step further, some selling agents have a culture of win-loss: the seller can only win if the buyer loses.

The next helpful hint is to understand that you are on their turf. In footy terms, when you begin negotiations you are playing an away game. Be mindful therefore that the wind may blow in a direction that the agent knew but wasn’t obvious to you.

In inner Melbourne, one of the first agent “cultures” that new buyers have to learn quickly is the concept of “quote  ’em low and watch  ’em go.” It’s endemic and not likely to change in a hurry because unfortunately it often works against the inexperienced. But this is not an article about that.

Once you have done twenty or so deals with a particular agency you will start to get a handle on the overall agent culture(s), and you will also start to develop insights into individual agency “clan” cultures.

To reiterate: better negotiations generally come from better understandings. And while you may not agree with the way the game is played, you can often achieve a better result if you understand the players and the game you are in.

For example, here are some of the sub-cultures we see in some of the Melbourne real estate agencies we deal with regularly:

Jellis Craig: Under the leadership of Scott Patterson, Richard Earle and Richard James, Jellis Craig’s sub-culture has changed in recent times to a more professional consultative culture.

RT Edgar: Led by Jeremy Fox in the toughest game in town – vs Kay and Burton. The sub-culture of this company is one of approaching every day with the view of ”what deal can be done?”

Kay and Burton: The five pillars, as we call them  – Ross Savas, Peter Kudelka, Jason Scillio, Mike Gibson and Gerald Delany  – have a sub-culture based around considered planning, preparation and professional presentation. A deal can’t be rushed.

Marshall White: Led by James Connell and John Bongiorno, this company is also highly structured. They have a competitive and very professional sub-culture.

Biggin and Scott : Local flavour is very much part of their sub-culture.

Noel Jones, Benmac, Buxton, Hodges, Barry Plant, Nelson Alexander and so on all have very different sub-cultures.

I’m sure you have run into agents who treat you like dirt (although this is a lot less widespread than ten years ago). And you may find that you visit home after home where these agents are from the same company. It’s all about culture and leadership from the top. If the company’s leadership has tight commissions, poor training and low ethical standards which encourage a “dog eat dog” attitude among its sales staff, that can manifest itself in poor interactions between buyers and agents. But rather than reject that and rule out a number of homes because of the agent, you can recognise the culture, understand why it is happening, not take it personally and then use it to your advantage in structuring an offer. In many cases, agents with a chip on their shoulder can be a smart buyer’s friend.

Of course, the reverse is also true and in any one of the above companies you will find the majority (if not all) agents operating in a professional culture where you will be treated in a manner that may lead to a result that made you feel good during the process but …

Understanding culture is very different from understanding buying or selling techniques. For example, if your pre-auction offer is shown to everyone else for 24 hours before it is accepted or rejected, that is a procedure. To be told by an agent that there is another offer even if there isn’t, is a technique or a strategy, not cultural. But to think that all buyers are liars – that is a culture.

There are problems when buyers want to, or become focused on, changing agents’ culture. I would like to see some changes to make private sales a more open process and legislation to make post-auction negotiations a more level playing field. However, while that is a wish, it is not my primary aim when involved in deals day to day. My primary aim is to get the right deal for my client. Any of my cultural change agendas are best served through REIV committee work, agent lunches and other forums. But when the deal light is flashing, I, for one, am not thinking about cultural change.

Besides that, changing cultures in countries, in clubs and within real estate agencies, is not an easy or instantaneous thing.

And, of course, it won’t have slipped past quality selling agents that our company individually, and we as buyer agents collectively, also have cultures – and a number of quality selling agents understand that and deal with us accordingly.

Overall, you may have noticed, in general, that buyer agents’ culture with regards to selling agents is moving from animosity towards understanding, and vice versa.

Selling agents, agencies and auctioneers are all different. There are cultures you may not like, but, in the context of a six-month search and buy, you need to ask yourself whether your priority is to resist or fight to try and change a culture, or whether you should simply ignore homes whose agent culture you don’t care for. You may find that your needs are best served by understanding and finding ways to operate within an agent’s clan culture.

He is loud, uncompromising and highly opinionated. He is also charming, hard working and effective. He is Tostevin and he is a machine. Come with me, come with me, he demands of two $7 million bidders at 49 Harcourt Hawthorn. And they did!

Key Points:

• Of the 10 auctions we attended in Boroondara on Saturday, all but one either sold under the hammer or was bought after auction.
• Canterbury 7 from 8 over a million were bought at auction today.
• Highlight auction was 49 Harcourt Ave, Hawthorn East, James Tostevin, bought in excess of $7 million.
• Weakest areas were Balwyn and Balwyn North, with only 5 from 10 selling.
• 35 purchases over $1 million in Boroondara this week.

Celia St, Glen Iris We love watching Celia Street Glen Iris blocks sell – they are very similar,  sell regularly and show you how the market works.

Agent Comments:
Michael Ebeling,  RT Edgar: “There are still buyers there for the good quality houses, and there are one to two buyers per property. But since March it has probably leveled off. I think this is due to external factors from overseas, ie the way Europe is regarding debt levels – people are being more cautious because of this. As for offers before auction, we had maybe one per property late last year but may have had two or three (recently). Bidder numbers have thinned out a little big. For example Washington had two bidders, yet five interested parties.”

Chris Burne of Marshall White: “Market is healthy and the real shortage in Boroondara is for family homes at all price levels.”

Bidderbuzz Auction for the day, 12 Barry St, Kew, Alastair Craig, Jellis Craig. Bought under the hammer $1,925,000, 5 bidders.
“There was lots of fierce, intense competition at this auction conducted by Alastair Craig. Proceedings commenced promptly with a $1,500,000 bid coming forth from the 80 people present, and it did not take long for the property to be declared on the market at $1,650,000. At this point, the bidding stepped up a notch with two very determined bidders vying for the prize. When the price hit $1,902,000 and it appeared to all the hammer was about to fall, a last minute bidder emerged. This drew gasps of surprise and shock from the audience and pushed the final selling price to $1,925,000. Overall a very hot auction, with 5 bidders, netting a strong result for the Jellis Craig team.” (Amy Wong)

Monitor Table:

We Only Buy Homes

Despite 2 bidders and a crowd of 50, James Tostevin (Marshall White) was forced to pass in 5 Chatham Rd, Canterbury, for $1,801,000.