ST KILDA WEST, 4 Deakin St: Michael Szulc (Cayzer) pauses before ending the auction - going, going, gone! Bought after auction for an undisclosed amount above $1,720,000

Key Points: We have noticed not only this week, but over the last six months, that $3.M+ properties in the City of Port Phillip, in particular those properties on Beaconsfield Parade, Marine Parade and Beach Street, have really struggled to sell at auction. Not one of the seven auctions I have attended over the last four months has had a bid. There has been, in my opinion, a view held by vendors that their properties are so unique because of their views that they are immune to the market cooling. It has been a long time since we have seen a volcano (4+ bidders) at any auction attended on the waterfront.

“No way mate - this market is fighting back– taking no prisoners today (April 9th).” John Bongiorno. Malvern 54 Stanhope. Bought $3,170,000. 3 bidders.

Week Ending 30th April: Back from a week or two off, this market now, has a fairly clear run till Christmas, with a only brief breaks for a couple of holiday weekends.

Over the next four to six weeks we should see more choice and some reasonable activity (although not expected anywhere near the levels of last year), as the May market is a traditional agent preferred selling time. Why? Well there is a good stretch of time until Queens Birthday weekend to run an uninterrupted campaign. Stock Quality is the unknown.

Come July things will be relatively quiet as there is a general sellers’ feeling (rightly or wrongly) that good homes do not look their best at this time of the year and accordingly a number of high end selling agents take winter holidays in Europe and therefore do not program campaigns to be run in their absence.

In the post Easter week or so there have been ten or more high end sales including the representative  half dozen below

• 15 St Ninians in Brighton for between $8m and $9m – perhaps not a lot more than what is was sold for less than 2 years ago (need to look up sale time to be absolutely sure of date) – Justin Follett of Kay and Burton
• 255 New Brighton for between $5.5m and $6m – Regina Schmidt and Brian Devlin of Buxton
• 50 Hotham St East Melbourne which had been on the market for at least 6 months for $7million – Paul Richards of Hocking Stuart – on the market for a fair bit of last year and also a failed auction. Nonetheless a reasonable price – not everything the sellers wanted – but more than had been offered at times in the past by buyers. A good result for both parties.
• 150 Clarendon East Melbourne – the Salta apartments saw Anton Wongtrakun deliver another big sale at $5,200,000 for Unit No 4
• Out to the paddocks of Lower Plenty with a Marketnews favourite Rocco Montanaro of Morrison Kleemand who achieved close to $3m on an Expressions of Interest Campaign for a good home on 7 acres at 75 Cleveland.
• And we round up our selection of high end Easter Sales with a $6M+ sale at Mount Eliza 15 Freemans Road – Michelle Skoglund of Aqua

In summary over Easter the market at this level has not been dead, but definitely subdued – there is increasingly a dampening mood in terms of both buyer and seller confidence. Time will tell if this is a short or longer term phenomenon. Price will play a important part going forward as we seemingly move into more uncertain market conditions – i.e. ones that are not as clear as they have been in the past 2 years since we awoke from the GFC. Overall the market now and in fact all of 2011 has not been strong at the $3m+ level – but there are still enough transactions (especially in Bayside) of sufficient value to avoid holding a wake just yet.

With winter approaching and a fair amount of stock available we think it is a buyers’ market and the future is best described as – “uncertain times”.

Finishing on a positive note our James Investment Division has seen some solid interest with investors coming back into the market (rentals are improving) and one current flavor of the times is blocks of flats. Some examples of what we are talking about.

Finishing on a positive note our Investment Division has seen some solid interest with investors coming back into the market (improving rentals as well) and one current flavor of the times is blocks of flats. Some examples of what we are talking about.

Week Ending 16th April:The $3m action this week was away from auctions.

The drought in the Balwyn Formula – big price, small land, new home – was broken again with Maurice Di Marzio getting 59 Hosken Street, Balwyn North away in the high $3 millions. That’s the third in a week on the back of the two biggies reported last weekend.

Canterbury, 11 Chaucer Close, with Boroondara doyen Peter Mitchell of Marshall White, got the same sort of high $3 millions price.

Hawthorn, Harcourt St, was a hot place to be this week with Nick Ptak getting 79a away for just under $3.4 million (we think) and one of the results of recent times. Peter Vigano of Jellis Craig  got $3.625 million for 42 (we did not see that price coming)

Speaking of good results, Marcus Chiminello got a price in the high $3 millions for 2/264 Walsh St, South Yarra. It’s not our job to talk agents up but in a slow apartment market Marcus has got a number of solid results.

St Kilda West, 10 Loch St, with John Holdsworth sold for $3,650,000.

Andrew McMillan from Benmac got 367 Beaconsfield St, Kilda West away in the $4m to $5m range after a very lengthy campaign (probably due to previous asking prices).

At Auction today 68 Hopetoun Rd,  Toorak with Jellis Craig’s Steve Abbott, sold afterwards for $3.05 million. That was up a few hundred thousand dollars on the last time it sold around a year ago.

Week Ending 9th April: The strongest week this year for the $3m+ Top End market:

South Yarra 43 Marne St: Nicole Gleeson of Kay and Burton: Well over the $12,000,000 quote range making Domain Precinct land values at $8,000 per sqm for the bigger blocks.

Hawthorn 51 Berkeley St with Tim Blackett also of Kay and Burton: North of $7,000,000 on Scotch Hill for a good home that needs some reworking and a tennis court.

While still in Hawthorn Mr Nice Guy and Very Effective Tim Picken of Jellis Craig got away the quinella with 25 Mary St (Modern in Grace Park) being bought for a credible $4,300,000 and 1 Hilda (period in Grace Park) for $2,800,000. Both a little down on ambitious asks but nonetheless solid prices for what they were.

But wait there’s more and was it us who cried out the death of the Balwyn formula- new build, small block, overpriced. Well on a technicality were are still credible as it’s neighbouring Kew; but with 21 Macartney (Walter Dodich of Marshall White) and 5 Mawson (Peter Dixon of Jellis Craig) both selling at auction today for $4 million’ish, the death of this market maybe a little exaggerated. However please it is only two sales, but they were biggies.

The news doesn’t stop for sellers there with period home successes at 50 Wattle Valley Canterbury (Duane Wolowiec and James Tostevin) selling under the hammer for a strong $3,465,000; 54 Stanhope Malvern with Rae Tomlinson also under the hammer for $3,170,000 and 13 Rubens Grove Canterbury with Fletcher’s Jeremy Desmier bought before for over $3,000,000.

Bayside has recorded a few strong sales as well with 29 Bay Street Brighton (Bert Stewart of Buxton) selling post auction over $3,550,000 and the final result put north facing (no view) Golden Mile land over $3,200 per sq metre. That is a steady as she goes price similar to last year Golden mile (no view) buys. And another $3m+ sale with a strange twist (all non bidders asked to leave) at 40 Drake Brighton (Ian Jackson).

While on land sales 1073 Malvern Road Toorak (Justin Long) passed in at $3,225,000 and a reserve was offered – not taken up – two new bidders appeared and a second auction took place resulting in a sale well over the pass in figure.

Why all this activity? Pass-ins are still languishing in large numbers without much interest. However its all about quality and new stock and buyer confidence. All three things happened this week -

1. buyers felt better in themselves (confidence);
2. buyers felt this week had some real quality offerings (quality)
3. and buyers couldn’t see a lot of stock coming one (limited new stock)

Post Easter is no Buyer lay down misere after today’s results.

ST KILDA, 2 Marine Pde: On what was a bit of a rollercoaster day auction-wise, it was apt that the backdrop of this Claudio Perruzza (Biggin Scott) auction was the Scenic Railway at Luna Park. Passed in $1,850,000, no bidders

St Kilda, 367 Beaconsfield, a ripper property, finally sold with Andrew Macmillan for about half the initial very ambitious asking price after a long time on the market, with a number of different campaigns and agents.

Albert Park, 62 Barrett St (Peter Simmons) a  three bedroom Victorian single fronted with parking, showed that if the quality is there and the price is right, $1,575,000, then the bidders will come. There were 4 bidders at this auction. See report below.

St Kilda West, 10 Loch St with John Holdsworth sold for $3,650,000 at Private Sale after auction.

Damian O’Sullivan, Marshall White, Albert Park: “Post Easter, both buyers and sellers should expect to see greater sales activity. This has historically been the case over the years when the market briefly pauses for Easter and school holidays. The weekend of April 30 and beyond will see greater auction volume as a direct result. Typically, this will be the case until winter really sets in, but prospective sellers should see winter as an opportune time to contemplate selling as fewer properties will be offered for sale.”

Lets hope that with the interruptions of the past month behind us, we will see a bit more stock coming onto the market, post Easter. Traditionally that tends not to happen until Spring. But we can always hope.

Have a safe Easter – Guy.

ELWOOD, 107 Mitford St: Small crowd and only a vendor bid at this Rob Watson (Century 21 Wilson) auction. Passed in, $1,300,000

ST KILDA WEST, 51 Park St: The ever dapper Geoff Cayzer (Cayzer) searches for bidders but passes the property in on a vendor bid of $1,225,000

Agent Q & A : How does current pricing compare with the same time last year?

Nick Yannopoulos, RT Edgar, Albert Park: “The intensity at auctions and buyer enquiry has certainly dropped over the last year particularly in the top end of the market. However outstanding homes in premier locations are still going strong as it does in any market. With winter approaching and stock levels reducing this should bring some stability.”

ST KILDA, 56 Blessington St: Adam Guest (Century 21 Wilson Pride) has his back against the wall (or tree in this instance!). Passed in $1,950,000, no bidders

ST KILDA WEST, 54 York St: Jeff Cayzer (Cayzer) looks for bids but has no luck. Passed in $1,775,000.

Key Points:

• Port Phillip the star performer today and especially solid in that early one million bracket
• Bidder depth would be best described as shallow except for the Volcano (4+ bidder auction) at 76 Blessington St St Kilda with Greg Hocking – see report below

Agent Q & A:“What is your take on the Economist’s article that Australian house prices are overvalued by 56%?”
Matthew Young, Buxton, St Kilda:”The question that needs to be asked when reading this article is, are you a pessimist or an optimist? - as your attitude on life and or investment strategies will directly reflect your opinion and outlook. Isn’t there an age old adage “property prices double on average every 7 to 10 years”? This saying has been around well before the late 1990’s when it was suggested by Mr Minack that the bubble had started to inflate. We all know and accept that the market provides no guarantees with financial returns but we are still willing to invest.  Why is that?   Facts don’t lie, some things just don’t need to be overanalysed and simply accepted for what they are.  For as long as I know or care to remember, regardless of any peaks or troughs that the market may provide that it rebounds in time.  Always seek out professional when looking to invest, do so wisely and understand that there are always risks involved. If you read this article with a pessimists approach the only place you would invest your money would be under your pillow……”
Karl Gillon, Buxton, Albert Park:”I recently heard Michael Blyth (Chief Economist for CommBank) speak at a conference where he indicated that some could analyse the data that way. However, debt ratios are higher than in previous years and that’s not concerning as more people are used to living with bigger debts nowadays. I think the way we live now is much different to how they lived in previous generations. Look I think if we’ve weathered the storm of the GFC, all the economic fundamentals are in place and demand for property in Australia is strong so I think we’re in a good position.”
Torsten Kasper, Chisholm & Gamon, Elwood, Black Rock & Port Melbourne:“It is our opinion that the recent statement, that property prices are 56% over priced, appears not to take into account that the growth that the Melbourne market  has had in recent years has been consistent with long term trends. The last five years have shown that growth in the apartment and housing sector has sat between 50-61% respectively since 2006. On an annualised base, this growth is reflective of far longer property trends and simply represents a growth rate of between 10-12.2%. In this time, there have been quarterly adjustments of spikes and declines reflecting appropriate responses to the confidence of the market at any given point in time as a result of  interest rate and economic forecasts. Given that Melbourne is experiencing a housing approvals boom, it would not be surprising to see some mild softening in some sectors and suburbs in the short term. Our belief is that the market has become more predictable in most segments and those properties priced correctly are still generating competition. The old adage is even more relevant – it is wise to buy and sell in the same market. From the longer term prospective, despite migration numbers slowing ,the figures are still historically high. The demand  based on the  new arrivals and localised demand for inner suburban property gives us confidence that the outlook  for Bayside property should remain positive in the medium to long term.”

Hawthorn 35 Mason: Scott Patterson and Michael Armstrong: Bought for over $3,100,000: 4 bidders

Some interesting results to finish off the month:

• 6 Teringa Place Toorak with Andrew Macmillan and Andrew McCann of Benmac was bought Sunday for an undisclosed amount over $3,500,000. House was quite serviceable but it would have also been considered as a bulldozer job placing land just under $5000 per sq metre
• 

  49 Howe Crescent South Melbourne - bought in excess of $6,000,000. Expressions of Interest - Michael Coen Hocking Stuart

  And a very quick and smart result at 49 Howe Crescent South Melbourne with Michael Coen of Hocking Stuart – due to be sold through an Expressions of Interest Campaign completing 21st March it was snapped up within a few days of advertising on the 25th of February. The result was a strong one and is undisclosed but the  quoting was over $5,000,000 and we believe in sold for in excess of $6,000,000 to give you some perspective. We do a fair bit of work in the is Expression of Interest area and this again proves that those who wait until the stated deadline do not put themselves in the best position to buy.

• 

  290 Beach Beaumaris - Len Sharp Chisholm and Gamon - Full asking price of $2,950,000 after a previously failed selling campaign.

  Private Sale at 290 Beach Road Black Rock with Len Sharp of Chisholm and Gamon for full asking price of $2,950,000. This again supports our comments that 1) Bayside and 2) New and 3) $3m (almost) price tag are a combination that is getting some runs on the board in the late Summer of 2011.

• Caulfield 20 Langdon Road – Rochelle Butt and Rodney Morley of TBM got away 1500 sqm of land plus home in Caulfield North for an amount believed to be in excess of $4,000,000. Showing that Caulfield’s prices can be Canterbury prices when the right package is sought after.

Week Ending February 26th: If last week was the season opener for the $1m+ auction market, then  this  week  was the beginning of the $3m+ auction market and the main  focus for this weekend’s report. We don’t have all this weekend’s numbers in yet, so it’s hard to call, but it seems that this upper  market cleared at 44% of the properties under the hammer. We at  James accept a slightly lower auction clearance rate on the day in this segment as indicating balanced, warm or even hot  markets, because the air is generally thinner at this level due to the lower number of bidders available at this price point, and because the pre and post auction argy-bargy is  generally greater. Today there were quite a few $3m+ homes on offer. We  think this market segment is underwhelming at present – however if it is the right price, the right property and the right position it is still being well  received and taken up.

A few of the biggies that were bought

• Armadale 23 Wattletree Road – Justin Long – 3 bidders – $3,300,000
• Hawthorn 46 Illawarra – Mark Dayman – Bought Before – $4,250,000
• Brighton 33 Middle Crescent – Jason Swift – 3 bidders – $4,300,000
• Malvern East 8 Westgarth – Andrew Macmillan – 2 bidders – Post Auction Buy a smidge under $3,000,000
• Hawthorn 45 Mason – Scott Patterson – 4 bidders – Under  the Hammer over $3,100,000
• Malvern East 118 Finch – Bought for $3,150,000
• Kew 4 Madden – Peter Batrouney – Bought After – 1 bidder – $3,050,000
• East Melbourne – John Bongiorno – 3 bidders – $3,000,000

Some of the biggies that missed the mark

• Balwyn North 15 Stephens  – 2 bidders – Passed In for $3,650,000
• Balwyn North 59 Hosken – Passed In for $4,050,000
• Toorak 44 Verdant – Passed In for $3,750,000
• Hawthorn 23 Lisson – Passed In for $3,600,000
• Toorak 231 Kooyong – Passed In for $3,500,000
• Malvern East 50 Finch  - 1 Bidder – Passed In $4,100,000

St Kilda West 49 Mary: Passed In $4,000,000 - 0 Bidders: Andrew Stuart was not in the mood for mucking around – he had an uphill battle and he knew it. An opening vendor bid of $4,000,000 immediately hushed the vibrant crowd of 120 and that was it. Game over – a half time break for show but the gate was shut. A duck for this auction. Photos by Phoebe James

Week Ending February 19th: This market is either poor or, what is more reasonable to assume, still on holidays. Mike Gibson of Kay and Burton says that most high end sellers, as advised, are waiting. Hence the quality currently on the market is average. He expects good stock at this level to come on post Labour Day and before Easter.

To support our claims that the $3m+ market hasn’t really got going yet, look at this weekend’s Pass–Ins of $3m+ properties  –

St Kilda West – Mary St – $4,000,000 –  0 Bidders
James Auction Report: See Report Above

Camberwell – Canterbury Road – $3,801,000 – 1 Bidder
James Auction Report: An air of expectation at another James Tostevin Boroondara tennis court auction. He has almost singlehandedly made them his own over the last 2 years or thereabouts. His focus has been 20000 sq ft tennis court at $6m plus. A huge crowd, around 200 with kids trampolining, people milling and cars driving by. Everybody seems to know at least one person to give a wink or a nod to. Carnival atmosphere. Then the business started – well this time it didn’t. One auctioneer bid at $3,800,000 and then surprisingly one crowd bid for $1,000 more. Small Argument – settled with pass-in to the bidder on his $1,000 bid. Inside to do battle and last check they were still banging heads. We await the result.

"You are all very naughty schoolkids and I'm going to keep you back here somebody bids." Well no, James Tostevin didn't say that but he may have been thinking this on Saturday. Camberwell 31 Canterbury: Passed In $3,801,000: 1 bidder:

Balwyn – 12 Creswick – $3,425,000 – 3 Bidders
James Auction Report: A genuine bid of $2,000,000 opened proceedings. Auctioneer Maurice Di Marzio politely accepted the bid, suggesting it was closer to land value than a sale price, before offering a vendor bid of $3,200,000. More than 150 people watched Mr Di Marzio field bids from another two bidders before passing the property in at $3,425,000. Both interested parties headed inside after the auction for further discussions.

Albert Park – 139 Beaconsfield – $3,250,000 — 0 Bidders
James Auction Report: Auctioneer David Wood from Hocking Stuart was seriously up against the elements today as he tried to make himself heard against the traffic noise and the wind coming off Port Phillip Bay. The preamble was short and to the point, before he asked for bids. No one was prepared to open the bidding and he immediately entered a vendor bid of $3,250,000. Still no response, so half time was called. After the think music was up, the question was asked again and still no bids. The property was passed in on the vendor bid.

Gowan Stubbings of Kay and Burton successful at 29 Scott Grove Glen Iris

Kooyong – 711 Toorak – $3,190,000

In fact the only auction sale over $3,000,000 we covered was 29 Scott Grove Glen Iris (Gowan Stubbings of Kay and Burton) for $3,032,000 – 3 Bidders.
James Auction Report: A triangular battle developed right from the word go, and auctioneer Gowan Stubbings orchestrated the bidding superbly to maintain momentum throughout. Only when the $3,000,000 mark was eclipsed, did one of the bidders drop out. $32,000 later and the property was secured. Good naturedly, the two bidders shook hands to acknowledge the end of the contest. A riveting event.

However a few strong private and off-market sales show this market is not completely morbid. There is still some pulse. There were three very solid such sales in Bayside this week:

Brighton Golden Mile: Scene of 2 big sales over $10,000 per sq metre in February 2011

Shandford Avenue – Nick Johnstone of JP Dixon – $7.3m for 600sqm approx – which translates to $10,000 sqm for Golden Mile beachfront

Chatsworth Avenue – Stewart Lopez of Kay and Burton – $11m+ for 1100 sqm approx – again, $10,000 sqm for Golden Mile beachfront

Kerferd Road – Andrew Stuart of Hocking Stuart – $4.9m off market – 440 sqm approx

Continuing with February Sales:

While we have seen no sales over $3m reported in Boroondara and only the long suffering and difficult to see what you can do with it 13 Como Sth Yarra finally sold (Jeremy Fox of RT Edgar) we have seen a reasonable amount of mopping up action in Brighton – a sort of summer clean out.

New and old Brightonians like to buy New in Brighton

1 Inner Crescent Brighton with Justin Follett of Kay and Burton for an undisclosed amount – proved difficult to move and while it was an impressive residence it must have been price that proved the sticking point. Having said that line it up against a number of apartments and I thought the final result was fair value.

This type of offering sold well over Summer

2 William St Brighton – cnr St Andrews –scene of the all the helicopter noise in recent weeks saw a similar offering to 1 Inner Crescent also sell –reportedly through Kay and Burton.

2a Mulgoa also with Kay and Burton and a similar offering got a lot of it’s 50% better price basically because of its golden mile location.

Another good result  in the Golden Mile this time for the dynamic duo Regina Schmidt and Brian Devlin saw another of the Glyndon apartments (no 4) bought for $3,200,000 which continues to emphasize the demand for “retiree” offerings and it shows the selling appeal for Friedrich designs.

The Buxton duo again  – 1/188 The Esplanade with waterfront views but unlike the Golden Mile also some traffic noise – bought for $3,500,000.

And finally also Buxton in Brighton – David Hart got away a very popular 62 Dendy when we  went through it (but for us main road, south facing , tight block) for a smidge under $2,950,000. And increase of just over 28% from the depths of the GFC,  2 years ago.

Hawthorn 35 Mason: Scott Patterson and Michael Armstrong: Bought for over $3,100,000: 4 bidders

Week Ending February 26th: If last week was the season opener for the $1m+ auction market, then this week was the beginning of the $3m+ auction market and the main focus for this weekend’s report. We don’t have all this weekend’s numbers in yet, so it’s hard to call, but it seems that this upper market cleared at 44% of the properties under the hammer. We at James accept a slightly lower auction clearance rate on the day in this segment as indicating balanced, warm or even hot markets, because the air is generally thinner at this level due to the lower number of bidders available at this price point, and because the pre and post auction argy-bargy is generally greater. Today there were quite a few $3m+ homes on offer. We think this market segment is underwhelming at present – however if it is the right price, the right property and the right position it is still being well received and taken up.

A few of the biggies that were bought

• Armadale 23 Wattletree Road – Justin Long – 3 bidders – $3,300,000
• Hawthorn 46 Illawarra – Mark Dayman – Bought Before – $4,250,000
• Brighton 33 Middle Crescent – Jason Swift – 3 bidders – $4,300,000
• Malvern East 8 Westgarth – Andrew Macmillan – 2 bidders – Post Auction Buy a smidge under $3,000,000
• Hawthorn 45 Mason – Scott Patterson – 4 bidders – Under  the Hammer over $3,100,000
• Malvern East 118 Finch – Bought for $3,150,000
• Kew 4 Madden – Peter Batrouney – Bought After – 1 bidder – $3,050,000
• East Melbourne – John Bongiorno – 3 bidders – $3,000,000

Some of the biggies that missed the mark

• Balwyn North 15 Stephens  – 2 bidders – Passed In for $3,650,000
• Balwyn North 59 Hosken – Passed In for $4,050,000
• Toorak 44 Verdant – Passed In for $3,750,000
• Hawthorn 23 Lisson – Passed In for $3,600,000
• Toorak 231 Kooyong – Passed In for $3,500,000
• Malvern East 50 Finch  - 1 Bidder – Passed In $4,100,000

St Kilda West 49 Mary: Passed In $4,000,000 - 0 Bidders: Andrew Stuart was not in the mood for mucking around – he had an uphill battle and he knew it. An opening vendor bid of $4,000,000 immediately hushed the vibrant crowd of 120 and that was it. Game over – a half time break for show but the gate was shut. A duck for this auction. Photos by Phoebe James

Week Ending February 19th: This market is either poor or, what is more reasonable to assume, still on holidays. Mike Gibson of Kay and Burton says that most high end sellers, as advised, are waiting. Hence the quality currently on the market is average. He expects good stock at this level to come on post Labour Day and before Easter.

To support our claims that the $3m+ market hasn’t really got going yet, look at this weekend’s Pass–Ins of $3m+ properties  –

St Kilda West – Mary St – $4,000,000 –  0 Bidders
James Auction Report: See Report Above

Camberwell – Canterbury Road – $3,801,000 – 1 Bidder
James Auction Report: An air of expectation at another James Tostevin Boroondara tennis court auction. He has almost singlehandedly made them his own over the last 2 years or thereabouts. His focus has been 20000 sq ft tennis court at $6m plus. A huge crowd, around 200 with kids trampolining, people milling and cars driving by. Everybody seems to know at least one person to give a wink or a nod to. Carnival atmosphere. Then the business started – well this time it didn’t. One auctioneer bid at $3,800,000 and then surprisingly one crowd bid for $1,000 more. Small Argument – settled with pass-in to the bidder on his $1,000 bid. Inside to do battle and last check they were still banging heads. We await the result.

"You are all very naughty schoolkids and I'm going to keep you back here somebody bids." Well no, James Tostevin didn't say that but he may have been thinking this on Saturday. Camberwell 31 Canterbury: Passed In $3,801,000: 1 bidder:

Balwyn – 12 Creswick – $3,425,000 – 3 Bidders
James Auction Report: A genuine bid of $2,000,000 opened proceedings. Auctioneer Maurice Di Marzio politely accepted the bid, suggesting it was closer to land value than a sale price, before offering a vendor bid of $3,200,000. More than 150 people watched Mr Di Marzio field bids from another two bidders before passing the property in at $3,425,000. Both interested parties headed inside after the auction for further discussions.

Albert Park – 139 Beaconsfield – $3,250,000 — 0 Bidders
James Auction Report: Auctioneer David Wood from Hocking Stuart was seriously up against the elements today as he tried to make himself heard against the traffic noise and the wind coming off Port Phillip Bay. The preamble was short and to the point, before he asked for bids. No one was prepared to open the bidding and he immediately entered a vendor bid of $3,250,000. Still no response, so half time was called. After the think music was up, the question was asked again and still no bids. The property was passed in on the vendor bid.

Gowan Stubbings of Kay and Burton successful at 29 Scott Grove Glen Iris

Kooyong – 711 Toorak – $3,190,000

In fact the only auction sale over $3,000,000 we covered was 29 Scott Grove Glen Iris (Gowan Stubbings of Kay and Burton) for $3,032,000 – 3 Bidders.
James Auction Report: A triangular battle developed right from the word go, and auctioneer Gowan Stubbings orchestrated the bidding superbly to maintain momentum throughout. Only when the $3,000,000 mark was eclipsed, did one of the bidders drop out. $32,000 later and the property was secured. Good naturedly, the two bidders shook hands to acknowledge the end of the contest. A riveting event.

However a few strong private and off-market sales show this market is not completely morbid. There is still some pulse. There were three very solid such sales in Bayside this week:

Brighton Golden Mile: Scene of 2 big sales over $10,000 per sq metre in February 2011

Shandford Avenue – Nick Johnstone of JP Dixon – $7.3m for 600sqm approx – which translates to $10,000 sqm for Golden Mile beachfront

Chatsworth Avenue – Stewart Lopez of Kay and Burton – $11m+ for 1100 sqm approx – again, $10,000 sqm for Golden Mile beachfront

Kerferd Road – Andrew Stuart of Hocking Stuart – $4.9m off market – 440 sqm approx

Continuing with February Sales:

While we have seen no sales over $3m reported in Boroondara and only the long suffering and difficult to see what you can do with it 13 Como Sth Yarra finally sold (Jeremy Fox of RT Edgar) we have seen a reasonable amount of mopping up action in Brighton – a sort of summer clean out.

New and old Brightonians like to buy New in Brighton

1 Inner Crescent Brighton with Justin Follett of Kay and Burton for an undisclosed amount – proved difficult to move and while it was an impressive residence it must have been price that proved the sticking point. Having said that line it up against a number of apartments and I thought the final result was fair value.

This type of offering sold well over Summer

2 William St Brighton – cnr St Andrews –scene of the all the helicopter noise in recent weeks saw a similar offering to 1 Inner Crescent also sell –reportedly through Kay and Burton.

2a Mulgoa also with Kay and Burton and a similar offering got a lot of it’s 50% better price basically because of its golden mile location.

Another good result  in the Golden Mile this time for the dynamic duo Regina Schmidt and Brian Devlin saw another of the Glyndon apartments (no 4) bought for $3,200,000 which continues to emphasize the demand for “retiree” offerings and it shows the selling appeal for Friedrich designs.

The Buxton duo again  – 1/188 The Esplanade with waterfront views but unlike the Golden Mile also some traffic noise – bought for $3,500,000.

And finally also Buxton in Brighton – David Hart got away a very popular 62 Dendy when we  went through it (but for us main road, south facing , tight block) for a smidge under $2,950,000. And increase of just over 28% from the depths of the GFC,  2 years ago.

Michael Szulc (Cayzer) rejected a low bid of $1m to kick start the auction at 77 Heath St, Port Melbourne. The property later passed in for $1,370,000 on a vendor bid. No bidders

Key Points

• 284 Albert South Melbourne bought at auction for $2,170,000 Nick Yannopoulos of RT Edgar
• Many homes on offer today failed to attract any interest
• Two good $2m+ homes in Park St. St Kilda West  failed to attract a bid

BidderBuzz auction of the day

229 Page St, Middle Park, Andrew Stuart, Hocking Stuart, Under the Hammer $1,620,000, 2 bidders
“I like Andrew Stuart – he is ripper, no nonsense auctioneer and this was another one of his specialties. Bit of humour, bit of pressure, bit of bidding. Opened up around where it sold for less than a year ago at $1,450,000 and two bidders pushed it along under Andrew’s cajoling until it was on the market (officially) and bought at $1,620,000. Sorry the market is faltering – you’ve heard. Not right now on the good stuff – it ain’t. $170,000 above the November 2009 sale figure.”

Agent Q & A:

October 23 is Super Saturday – What can we expect?

Kaine Lanyon, BenMac, Albert Park: “As always Super Saturday is the busiest auction weekend of the year and we expect the clearance rates for that day to be in line with the last number of weekends. The volume so far for spring hasn’t been up at the high levels we have seen from previous years, meaning the market is far from flooded which should keep prices pretty consistent. In summary “Steady as she goes”. Still severely lacking listings in the $2-4m bracket.”

Damian O’Sullivan, BenMac, Albert Park: “A particularly busy weekend for all concerned. We have 27 auctions scheduled and the early signs are promising for our vendors. That said, we’re sure that the buyers will be excited by the volume of property being offered because sadly they have been comparatively starved for some time now. This pent up demand should theoretically see clearance rates in the mid 70% range across Melbourne which would be a reasonable outcome.”

Sam Gamon, Chisholm & Gamon, Elwood:”Super Saturday should be about Super Sales! We have several investors wanting to purchaser for their Super Funds, lots of raving Bayside fans feeling positive now the sun is out & the RBA’s decision has put a smile on everyone’s face.”

Forward Auction Bookings

Some auctions in our forward booking estimates failed to get near $1m – hence discrepancy with results below

Clearance Rates

Results

A sea of umbrellas was all that could be seen at 97 Graham St, Albert Park. Around 90 people watched as Andrew Stuart (Hocking Stuart) brought down the hammer at $2,630,000. Two bidders.

Key Points:

• We focused on Albert Park today and there were reasonable bidder numbers across several auctions. However, Port Phillip has still started Spring very slowly.
• Prices had been falling during Winter and the factors are there for that to continue; especially if any sort of Spring stock level surge is not met by a corresponding increase in bidder numbers – our only proviso is this is a small dynamic market and things change very quickly in Port Phillip.

Biggest Buy:
97 Graham St, Albert Park, Andrew Stuart, Hocking Stuart, Bought $2,630,000.
“Despite threatening skies overhead, and persistent drizzle, Andrew Stuart bravely started proceedings outside with a vendor bid of $2,400,000. After a relatively slow start, a battle between two keen buyers ensued. After Mr Stuart declared the property on the market at $2,617,500, the bidding quickly soared to the selling price of $2,630,000 – a strong result for Mr Stuart and the Hocking Stuart team.”(Jen Milligan)

Agent Comments:
Oliver Bruce, BenMac, Albert Park: “There is a reasonable selection of properties available in Albert Park. A good mix of terraces, small and large, modern and liveable. There are a few unrenovated and three or four land offerings too. There is a shortage of double fronted homes and there are fewer properties on the market in Middle Park. South Melbourne is quiet and there is a shortage in the Howe Crescent/ Lamaro precinct. I am seeing a lot of the same faces around at opens and auctions. Reasonable numbers are attending both for correctly priced opportunities. As always, price is a driving factor for both vendors and buyers. I have seen some absolutely phenomenal prices in every price bracket. These big prices have been driven by competition. One can only assume that the buyers are flocking towards the better homes, or the better priced homes. I am seeing very few offers for properties prior to auction. Buyers are sitting back playing the waiting game thinking that no one will bid, only to see two or three motivated buyers pushing prices well above everyone’s expectations.”

Adrian Wood, Cayzer, Albert Park: “The market is fair at the moment. There is a lack of stock and looking into Spring is like looking into a crystal ball – who knows what will happen. Demand is higher than supply at the moment. Bidder numbers have been down overall, but good quality, well priced homes are still bringing outstanding results.”

Bidderbuzz Auction of the Day:
25 Longmore St, St Kilda West, John Bongiorno, Marshall White, three bidders:
“Having to hold the auction indoors due to wet weather, John Bongiorno asked serious bidders to enter one room and anyone else to stand down the hallway. His invitation to the sitting room was taken up by around a dozen people which looked promising for Mr Bongiorno and the Marshall White team. Out of that group, there were three bidders who fought it out, taking the price to $1,075,000 which, unfortunately, wasn’t enough to buy the property under the hammer. Mr Bongiorno, instead, passed the house in at this amount. Bought after for an undisclosed amount.”(Jen Milligan)

Clearance Rates & Monitor Table: Spring start has been slower than a Mark Webber one.

We Only Buy Homes

Phil DeFegely (for JC Street) brought the action indoors at 347 Dorcas St South Melbourne. Passed in $980,000. Two bidders.

What is it with redheads? They're running the country - and now they're taking over the auctions. We counted six in this photo in amongst auctioneer Phillip Kingston from Gary Peer. 7A Nightingale St Kilda East. Bought After $1,200,000. 1 bidder.

At 6pm Saturday the James Clearance Rate on the 22 $M+ Auctions we covered was 59%.

Our Demand Indicator Bidderman was 2.2.  Hmmm – an interesting increase but it was off a very low turnover.

Today’s Highlights

1)      Bidders were present at 18 of the 22 auctions we covered –  and at three auctions there were 6+bidders

• 23 Sunburst Avenue Balwyn North (Doug McLauchlan of Marshall White)
• 12 Lennox St Hawthorn (Russell Turner of Christopher Russell)
• 7 Monomeath Avenue Toorak (Justin Long of Marshall White)

2)      The Pies are top of the ladder – and the election is on

We couldn’t find many $M+ auctions worth covering and only one of the auctions we covered went over $2m this weekend. So with the small numbers – just coming out of  the winter hiatus – it was like a first back training run before we get into the winter season proper over the next few weeks.

Agent Quotes

Scott Patterson of Jellis Craig: “Sold 12 from 16 today throughout the company. Opens and auctions were well attended…those who wish to sell in next month or two could enjoy quite solid results due to lack of supply, because demand seems reasonable… August 28 is looming as big weekend, particularly as it is now the week after the election…only thing is that Hawthorn vs Collingwood might affect crowd numbers etc…’

Hamish Tostevin of Marshall White: ”Opens were steady without being over-run with buyers. Certainly a lack of property at the moment in terms of supply. Should be a solid spring, particularly when the election is out of the way.”

Now, where were we before we were so rudely interrupted (by the school holidays)?

It has been a month since we last reported, and we have seen more Top End activity at Tullamarine than in any other suburb. Was it sales? No. It was our selling agent brethren jetting off to Europe to recharge their batteries. This poor humble buyer agent can only give you a travelogue on the Dubbo Zoo so I won’t bore you with tales of kids and a 12-hour car drive or the fact it ain’t a patch on the Werribee Zoo.

The world is a different place since our last report: back then Kevin ’07 was in charge, Masterchef was still a competition to find the best amateur chef in Australia, not the luckiest cook as it is now, and our $M+ market had prices cooling quicker than a Melbourne winter, after a blistering start to the year (although there were still an incredibly high number of buys).

A month ago we reported that the early 2010 gains had evaporated in the five auction weeks of May due to the sheer number of listings. May’s record supply finally stopped what had, since March 2009, been a rising market, driven initially by international buyer demand and then solid local demand.

So what is happening in our Winter Market (June to August) right now?

To be frank we don’t know for sure yet. But here are some of our thoughts.

1. Prices Now
2. Stock Quality Now
3. Method of Sale Now
4. Risk v Reward Now

Prices Now
Selling agents love to use the ‘p’ word plateau (rather than the four letter ‘f’ word)  to reflect on, or deflect away, thoughts of a declining price market. Right now, we actually agree with the ‘p’ word – especially if you accept that prices fell significantly in May and June. (By the way, the ‘f’ word that selling agents don’t like to use is fall.)

Some reasons prices may be plateuaing are:

• Seasonally reduced action (winter)
• An election on the horizon –  so some buyers and would-be sellers will pause to wait for the result.
• We had a big price fall in May and  for most of us market watchers the way forward is still unclear. Will we see more price drops or …. who knows? Like many, we are waiting for a sign.

Demand in Relation to Price

• This weekend Bidderman was at 2.2 – but, please note, this is based on very low auction volumes and therefore statistical distortions are possible.
• As a buying company,  we have had commitments from a significant number of new clients over the past few weeks.
• We feel it’s better to reflect overall demand as more cautious rather than dropping – however another month or two may tell us a different story.
• Right now, buyers still do have the rare luxury of having their cake and eating it too – if they choose to. Prices have fallen in May/June, and in July we are in a market of reasonable choice. Hooray for buyers!

Private Sale Clearance Rate – the number of Proven Sales is only 11 from 50 – or 22% – over the past six weeks.

Six weeks ago we randomly selected a basket of 50 higher end Private Sale and Expression of Interest properties, right across our $M+ Melbourne market. We did this with the aim of  checking  what was bought 6 weeks later (roughly the same time as a “go to whoa” auction campaign), and to therefore calculate the clearance rates  to see how Private Sales and Expressions of Interest were really going.

We thought this snapshot would provide the best reflection of private sale market activity and confirm or question comments by some selling agents that: “Oh yes, auctions were not as good as March, but we are selling a heap via private sale”. The results proved that while in May agents were selling a heap, it wasn’t so much the case in late June to early July. However,  it could have just been that many agents were away.

• We have made an effort to contact those that were withdrawn without a sale price, and we may have missed a few sales – but overall the non-auction homes are NOT running out the door any faster than the auctions. In fact you could make a strong argument that, as an effective method of sale, auctions are still outperforming private sales in many cases – despite the declining clearance rates, given that only 1 in 4 private sale properties have been bought in 6 weeks.
• These figures must surely help smart buyers put together an offering strategy. It’s certainly prompted us here at James Buyer Advocates to change how we buy in the last two months.

Today’s final word on price – are you a glass half empty of half full person?

If you feel the double-dip recession is fast approaching and the world as we knew it is about to end, then, by all means, don’t buy – and in fact sell (and please give us a ring if you have a good home to sell).

If you feel Julia (Gillard) won’t be changing the legitimate immigration numbers any time soon (demand) and Justin (Madden) won’t be able to release large numbers of housing blocks in Inner Melbourne because they are not there (supply), you may wish to ignore the doomsayers and take advantage of this current price breather combined with good stock offering. The GFC lasted less than a year  (for us) and in July 2010 Melbourne $M+ home prices are still 20 to 30 per cent above 2008 GFC home prices. Remember the 2008 ‘bulls**t’ rumour of the year, which said the NAB and other banks were about to foreclose on 200 homes in Toorak alone – it never happened. Yes we are biased and make a living by encouraging buyers to buy – but the facts are still very positive for buyers.

Stock Quality Going Forward
Spring quality and auction numbers are the variables we don’t have a clear handle on as yet. Right here and now in July, we have a market with excellent stock numbers for buyers – if you know where to look and you actually act correctly (please see the following paragraph on methods of sale). We also think the quality is good. Going forward, quality stock levels are not clear to us, because traditionally when quality sellers see a declining market they are loathe to put their home on the market on a speculative basis (in that, if they don’t have to sell, they won’t). This obviously leads to less stock on the market, which may affect price but, more importantly, it affects choice. Good buying decisions are more likely when, along with good advice, you, the buyer, have good choice.  You have that now.

Method of Sale
As we said, there is choice now if you know where to look, whom to ask and how to deal. Look at the above private sale table – there are some good homes there. We keep overhang lists (stales and unsolds) and there are also a number of off-markets and quiet pre-releases available. Granted, some of the vendors are still in their price cocoons but  quality sellers who have adjusted their price expectations may have homes worth considering. The off-market (unadvertised properties) may well be the market of choice for a number of buyers and sellers in the next few months.  But, please note buyers, you will have to sharpen your negotiation strategies to take advantage of all that is on offer.

Risk v Reward
To digress – Risk v Reward is where Masterchef’s Adam and Claire had it all over Jono. While Jono was going for the big dish on every occasion – and you have to admire him for that – he wasn’t playing the game to the best of his abilities. Adam is the quiet master at the Masterchef game. He sees a situation and says: “Yeah, I want to try and make a dish that will impress the judges and maybe get me a shot at immunity – the reward – but I don’t want to push the boundaries that far that I risk getting in the elimination round if I fail.” Good Home Buying and Negotiation is absolutely the same as this. Why is that? Because in the first instance the strategy should be to get yourself into a strong position and not risk all for the pot of gold. Once you are in that strong position, then you can make a run for the prize. Another analogy is acclimatising at base camp before you make the assault on the Everest summit. This is Risk v Reward.

A full James Buyer Opinion on Risk v Reward in today’s Market will be published here on Tuesday – so look out for it this week. At the moment you will find our biggest ever ‘clicked on’ James Buyer Opinion article – The Learning Fee - right next to this article.

It’s good to be back

We Only Buy Homes

Mal

Balwyn North 23 Sunburst. Big Crowd for Doug McLauchlan of Marshall White - 125 in fact. Seven bidders. Bought under the hammer for $1,567,000.

Albert Park 77 Page: Mr Stuart sure knows how to pull a crowd. A couple of jokes, four bidders and bang: she's bought - $1,290,000. He's still got it!

Of the 10 auctions we attended, three were bought before auction, three were bought under the hammer and four were passed in (with one bought after).  Our demand indicator Bidderman was at 1.5 bidders per auction. So out of 10, seven were bought. That seems a big improvement on the last few weeks. We have seen 20 homes over $1m purchased in a fortnight in Port Phillip.

This clearance rate boost was not completely unexpected; unlike Boroondara and Stonnington there is not much new stock on the horizon in Port Phillip. And, while there is an overhang of unsold properties, there is an argument that this mostly relates to inferior or overpriced stock.

We think Port Phillip may be a microcosm of what might happen in Melbourne generally – as soon as stock begins to dry up, the clearance rate will subsequently improve. And if that continues, a return to stronger prices will follow. While we are not fortune tellers, it feels as if this market – along with the other main Million-Dollar-Plus markets across Melbourne – may just be taking an enforced breather (caused by supply exceeding demand), and could reignite again once stock levels are significantly pared back. Let’s wait and see.

The big unanswered question is demand strength: Bidderman is still somewhat weak in Port Phillip, evidenced at 0.9 this weekend despite the post auction clearance rate.

20 Gellibrand Road, Port Melbourne went under the hammer with Frank Callaghan of Frank Gordon, advertised at $1,300,000+. After a very confident opening bid of $1,400,000, two bidders pushed the price to just over $1,600,000. Enter bidder number three, who was only interested in bidding in $1,000 rises, and the property was finally bought for $1,681,000 – which I thought was a solid result for the vendors.

Similarly, the auction at 13 -15 Evelyn Street, St Kilda East saw confident bidding and multiple bidders willing to pay considerably more than the reserve. The growing crowd saw Kaine Lanyon of Bennison Mackinnon put on a good performance and produce a solid result for his vendors. Speaking with Mr Lanyon after the auction, he indicated that, whilst the market is generally patchy, quality real estate is still attracting strong interest and multiple bidders and achieving good results.

Last but not least, 77 Page Street, Albert Park with Andrew Stuart of Hocking Stuart (a James Market News favourite), saw four bidders put their hand up for a slice of one of Albert Park’s premier streets. An opening vendor bid of $1,100,000 was followed by frenzied bidding. The property was announced on the market at $1,160,000, with a final result of $1,290,000. It was a strong result, given the current market, for a property with no car parking. However, that is what happens when four people are determined to get into a great pocket of Albert Park.

The properties that were sold before included: 7 Burns Street, Elwood;  76 Armstrong Street, Middle Park; 161 Dow Street, Port Melbourne.

The properties that were passed in included: 5 Kerferd Place, Albert Park; 96 Iffla Street, South Melbourne; 118 Hambleton Street, Middle Park (Sold post auction for $1,760,000)

What was interesting about all the passed-in properties was that  in all instances the vendor was the only bidder. So where is the value level if there are no actual bids?

Opportunity is now here, which makes it important to have more information on hand than the vendor thinks you have and than what the agent  is telling you.

Auction Clearance Rates

19 monitored – 13 bought – 68% clearance rate ( last week 54% / week before 32%)

Know your market

Middle Park 118 Hambleton: Oliver Bruce - He looks good and he is good. No bidders, yet bought immediately afterwards for $1,760,000.

Not enough pressure at an auction for you? Then why not add a Channel 7 film crew and a new TV series and it's raining and indoors in a small space and you've got Marcus Peters breathing down your neck. Mate I was scared just watching. One very brave bidder and passed in at $850,000. St Kilda - 23 Mitchell.

SUPPLY OVERHANG BUILDS
First some stats. Last Saturday’s (May 29) Auction results showed strong evidence of “auction overhang” in Port Phillip where the clearance rate was 32% clearance rate on the 22 auctions we monitored.

Seven days later the reported clearance rate had lifted from 32% to 45%, with only three of the pass-ins and unreporteds reported as having been bought. On this evidence, it seems a stretch to say that in Port Phillip Million-Dollar-Plus homes are being bought soon after auction. There is overhang elsewhere in $Million Melbourne but not as much as Port Phillip. Which suggests the chance of bargains here.

What Supply Overhang means to you, the buyer
1.  More choice, given that new stock has to compete not only with other new stock, but with old stock which hasn’t sold yet.
2.  Better pricing on all homes as there is real competition for the first time in a long while – providing of course you understand the negotiating game and know how to play it.

We genuinely believe that there is an air of bargain hunting around at the moment and if you are a little brave or a little flexible on the purchase then perhaps you may consider being a bit more aggressive on the offer. Perhaps you also may consider talking to a buyer agent to show you your real alternatives.

Stock Levels Going Forward – Unlike Boroondara stock does seem to be drying up a bit. Forward auction bookings for Port Phillip are decreasing compared to May. So a quick rebalance is possible.

Apartments
This $M+ market is still continuing to show some signs of life with 3 more reported sales in

• 576-578 St Kilda Road Melbourne at $2,200,000 with Biggin and Scott
• 48 Nelson St St Kilda for $1,300,000 with David Cutler of Century 21
• 3908/7 Riverside Quay Southbank (Eureka)  for $1,200,000 with Georgina Dakdouk of Dingles

A report from Michael Szulc of Cayzers
We had 7 auctions scheduled for today, of which we have sold 5.  1 before auction, 1 under the hammer, 3 passed in and sold shortly after.

The new trend appears  for buyers to be holding back until the last moment and not declare their interest until they have to. It is only when it appears the property will be taken away from them that they show their hand. Whilst buyers are thin on the ground just at the moment, they are still there and it is case of the agent knowing how to deal with the situation……….patience and experience is proving very important at the moment.

Buy Opportunity

Port Phillip – 11 monitored – 6 bought – 54% clearance rate (last week 32%)

Port Melbourne 65 Bridge; Gerald Betts of RT Edgar. 1 bidder and passed into them for $1,810,000

Albert Park 144 Danks: Passed In for $2,410,000; but with 2 bidders there should be a result soon unless the vendor isn't aware of a buyer mood change. Karl Gillon of Buxton

With Bidderman less than 1 – meaning more auctions than bidders  – it may be time for a change of scenery for Port Phillip auctioneers unless things turn very quickly or they can come up with some new ideas. And the post auction sales are not happening either according to reported REIV results, so a pass-in and deal later strategy can’t be justified to a seller who is forking out $10,000 to $20,000 on marketing. But the sellers are not our constituency – buyers are. And buyers: you have opportunities if you can find the right home and it’s a goodie. The opportunity comes with your assessment and negotiations skills.

Port Phillip is a very fickle market at the best of times and May is proving more fickle than usual. Especially if its $2m and over.

If you need some help in getting through the maze of unsolds to find the gem then please consider giving us a call. There is actually a lot on offer and buyers if you can’t recognize this buy signal then we advise a change of medication.

Population and Wealth pressures mean that sometime soon this part of the Bay will again shine – so the smart recognise this an opportunity and those that are waiting for more easing are brave.

Sound a bit “salesmany” but we encourage your participation as some of the market seems to be returning to 2009 pricings – how long that will last we don’t know.

Next month maybe a different story

Port Phillip Auctions – 22 monitored – 7 bought – 32% clearance rate

Buy Opportunity

Port Melbourne 266 Esplanade East: Joseph Allen: Passed In for $1,720,000.

Albert Park: 81 Vincent St: Good Crowd (70) but no action; Passed In on multiple vendor bids for $1,670,000

Not a lot on offer today and despite our headline a few were put away albeit on lower interest levels than last month. Of the reported sales we saw 7 from 13 go under the hammer or sell soon after for a 54% clearance rate. The standout auction was 65 Beacon Vista Port Melbourne with David Lack of Biggin and Scott. In front of a big crowd of 150, 2 bidders fought it out from $2,500,000 to $3,135,000. A strong result by anyone’s standards.

Some Opinions

Michael Szulc from Cayzers believes “the market has dropped right back – peaked back at the end of February”.

Kaine Lanyon of Bennison Mackinnon thinks things have dropped off a lot also.

To quote Damien O’Sullivan of Bennison Mackinnon: “Buyers are perhaps not acting in their best interests”. Implying there are some bargains not being taken up.

Is it demand or supply? At this stage there are a number of single fronted homes in Albert Park, Middle Park and South Melbourne – all around the 900K mark so it maybe supply and lack of qualty, just as much as it maybe buyer caution caused by outside influences.

St Kilda West and 24 York St had a sold result last Sunday just under $2million through Andrew Turner of Cayzers. Again reinforces quality land is anything up to $6,000 sqm with York selling for over $4,500 per sqm with a wide frontage and good redevelopment possibilities.

Dropping further down the bay we see Elwood finding plenty to put onto the market with 5 sales and an off market in the early to mid $1’s being bought. However once the number approaches or exceeds

 $2million it’s a different story. There are few bidders and homes take longer to sell (as a general rule). Cases in point are 2 Kendall and 11 Addison but granted 57 Dickens with Torsten Kasper of Chisholm and Gamon did sell. And what’s with Addison St – I’ve never seen so many homes for sale in this prized stretch before.

Another big week coming with 23 scheduled auctions over a $m. The big question is it lack of quality, quantity of supply (choice) or buyer mood changes from external sources that are currently affecting the market? What will this mean going forward? Lots still happening just in a diferent manner, at a different pace and on a different level to last month!

Buy Opportunity

Port Melbourne: 65 Beacon Vista: BANG: Bought under the hammer for $3,135,000: 2 bidders: Biggin and Scott's David Lack in charge!

Middle Park 85 Carter: Quiet auction for Kaine Lanyon of Benmac. No bidders and passed in at $950,000.

So how is Port Phillip (Port Melbourne to Elwood) travelling in this changing market.

Lets look at some stats on the auction we had scheduled to visit, bid on or review below.

Of the 16 auctions all bar one reported their results so the clearance rates are accurate.

The clearance rate was 50%. That is for every auctioned property that was bought- one was not.

Of the auctions we attended 3 out of 4 passed in and Bidderman was propped up by the Brooke St auction otherwise he didn’t really get a run yesterday.

Good news for agent quoting though ALL that had quotes achieved sales of pass-ins within those ranges. A miracle – not! A solid effort -well done. Being fair Hocking Stuart (Albert Park) and some others in Port Phillip have always had a policy of fair quoting.

Another interesting point is a number of these auctions below we estimated to go over a $1million on first glance six weeks ago when we first began to monitor them.

Longer Term how have the various suburbs and price points been travelling.

Looking above we can see almost identical numbers of sales (over a $million) in identical suburbs for April 1 to May 15th 2007 v 2010. A little anomaly is the Middle Park sales have been replaced by the St Kilda sales – not sure if there was a council line change. Anyway I digress, the median on all sale over a million has been on a rollercoaster during those 3 years and has returned to about the same spot plus a bit (5%).

So what does this all mean. Things have been fairly solid up this last six months, agent reporting has been accurate, quoting seems good but the market is now definitely either flattening or possibly in slight decline. Evidenced not only by a falling clearance rate which is matching other Bayside suburbs; but by agents comments such as the balanced Andrew Stuart who says ” Yes Mal things are tapering and the market is now not as it was a month ago

Prepare for all auction eventualities, maybe even get some advice!

369 Dorcas St South Melbourne: Land sale no declared interest. Passed In for $1,200,000.

John Clarkson of Hocking Stuart on his way to producing a stellar result (for the seller) at 38 Montclair Avenue Brighton North

To quote Rodney Morley of TBM real estate  at the auction of 23 Loch Street today, “That’s 8 of you!”  – and the bidders weren’t just there.  They were everywhere!  Loch Street, in St Kilda West, was buzzing with a crowd of more than 150 and bids came from everywhere.

Stuart Lopez of Kay & Burton achieved a fantastic result at 40 Sussex Street, Brighton.  Considered land only (725 sqm) by many, it sold for $3.25M.  That’s  a little over $4,500 per sqm.  Further down south, Hocking Stuart’s pair Stephen Tickell and Jenny Dwyer sold 5 Jennings Street, Sandringham for $1.85M.  With a feeling of yesteryear, this property needed a lot of work, and was rated as such.  If you put no value in the house (although many would keep it),  at 749 square metres, that’s almost $2,500 per sqm.

Family homes sold well today: John Clarkson of Hocking Stuart, sold 38 Montclair, Brighton for $2,225,000 with 3 bidders.  A property in Alicia Street, Hampton that did not move at all last year has sold via an expression of interest campaign, and we believe it sold this week for a little over $4M.  Leigh Hallamore and Bert Stewart of Buxtons ran a good campaign at 2a Rippon Grove, Brighton, selling under the hammer in the early $3M’s.

And it wasn’t just family homes selling today with multiple bidders -  the Leigh and Bert duo continued on to successfully sell 170 Were Street, Brighton, a small townhouse, for $1.283M with 5 bidders; up from just under a million when it last sold about 18 months ago.

The question now is whether this is a sign of things to come.  Will bidders remain at these numbers?  Will an increase in properties affect the current heat in the market?

Happy Wife Happy Life