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9 Buyers near 9 Million in Glen Iris – Hello Dolly!

9 Buyers near 9 Million in Glen Iris – Hello Dolly!
At 6.00pm on Saturday, in the second week of our three week May 100 Auction Test, it’s all becoming a little ho-hum – stats wise. The James Clearance Rate for $2m+ Inner Melbourne family homes is a borderline ice-berger 63% on the 35 auctions we covered. Bidderman was up a skerrick to 1.6 bidders per auction [...]
Let’s face a home truth – the elephant in the room – population

Let’s face a home truth – the elephant in the room – population

Ferocious bidding on the right homes – despite this being the largest auction start to a year in Melbourne auction history – the market lapped it up, spat out a few and said ”feed me, feed me, give me more.” At 6.00 pm the James Clearance Rate on Inner Melbourne Homes was close enough to 90% – yep [...]
2016年市场的开端是(······紧锣密鼓)

2016年市场的开端是(······紧锣密鼓)

2016年市场的开端是(······紧锣密鼓)     5/3/2016 代理故意报低价是欺骗行为,我们完全支持CAV和政府的努力 墨尔本近郊数据 竞标人数 2.4  拍卖水平 150  清盘率78 竞标人数  零竞标者  1位竞标者  2/3位竞标者  4位以上竞标者 2.4        13%       13%        45%           29% James市场总结 2016年市场的开端是······紧锣密鼓······涌入······强劲的······震惊。毫无疑问没有什么其他方法来确切描述。我们已经经历了连续三个大型的周末拍卖了。今天事实上是一个超级星期六,市场已经说明了。 2016年一开始就非常强劲。2016年和2015年仅有的区别就是市场上的房屋数量(2016年要少些)和激烈程度(同2015年暴涨, 失控相比,2016年表现强劲)。 我们James买方代理这个月目前为止做了很多事情,我们今天又买了.但恰恰是我们没有买成或没有买的房子揭示了墨尔本近郊房屋市场的真实情况。 34 Bell Street Hawthorn(Steve Burke and Tony Doh) * 在Hawthorn好的单面房(James房屋评估655) * 中介保守的报价是$1,300,000澳元。 * 我们为我们的投资者的估价在$1,600,000澳元左右,我们经过对该地区近期交易仔细的调查,给出了$1,518,000到$1,718,000这样一个区间。 * 开标价为$1,500,000并且到达了可以销售的价位, 另三位强劲的竞标者把卖价推到了$1,720,000. 为了一个单面房在$1,500,000后出现了井喷式的竞标. * 正好在我们估价的高位。 * 如果竞标以那位代理的报价$1,300,000开始,那我相信你会看到6位或7位竞标者。 * 注意:代理报价没有问题——他们有竞标者在那里并且一开始出到了可以销售的价位。 * 信息一:34 Bell Street告诉我们Hawthorn的单面房在市场上有相当大的深度。 * 信息二:买家并不是单一通过James买方代理同中介打交道,而是不断地同那些落标的竞争者打交道。要成功,让我们回头看看我们去年这个时候在拍卖会外的策略吧。 5 Nelson Street Sandringham (Julian Augustini 和 Romana Preston) * 非常高的质地,单层,装修过,木板,Sandringham B级街道, 中等大小的地块特定年代的房屋(James房屋评估727)。 * 代理报价$2,200,000到$2,300,000 * 开拍$2,400,000着实吓到了众人,使得拍卖停顿了一会,这才使买家有了喘息的机会。 * 而这种失去意识只是短暂的,因为有另5位(是的5位)举起他们的手直至$2,655,000。我们的出价上限是$2,725,000。对于一个在Sandringham低于中等地段,高于中等的单层木板房在出价$2,400,000后出现了竞标者井喷现象。 * 在过去的两周里我们在67 Mills看到6位竞标者把价格抬到了$2,790,000,在Edward St有4位竞标者把价格抬到超过了$2,600,000, 今天这里有6位竞标者(应该有十几位预算超过$2,000,000)——因此现在在海湾区中部,家庭住房是很有深度的。 * 注意:代理报价没有错——他们有竞标者在那里,第二次出标后就房屋就达到了可以销售的价位。 * 信息一:当你想在Sandringham/Hampton买一幢$2,500,000左右的A级的房子,你可能有十几位竞标者(请参阅受伤的落标者文章)在看着你,5 [...]
简而言之,今天超级星期六市场有点牵强。

简而言之,今天超级星期六市场有点牵强。

这是个概括,一个超级星期六的概括。John Morrisby就 40 Britten, Glen Iris 达成了交易,成交价$2,415,000 有3位竞标者。 墨尔本近郊数据 竞标人数 2 拍卖水平 245 清盘率74 竞标人数 零竞标者 1位竞标者 2/3位竞标者 4位以上竞标者 2      19%       19%       46%           16% 我们今天主要着重于关注高端房产,因为它是金矿中的黄宝石。如果市场有变化的话, 你将最早在高端领域看到,因为目前的市场是一个受高端房产驱动的市场。从传统上来讲,高端领域房产价格最容易受到影响,因此能很好反映情况。 今天我们报导的38场拍卖中有33场是超过二百万澳元的,并且其中近乎一半超过三百万澳元。你可能认为以下一些评论也许比较中立——我们不是——我们报导我们所看到的.我们看到一些变化,但是我们知道今天是一个超级星期六,而且我们集中关注的是一个传统的最少竞标者参与的部分——墨尔本高端领域中的高端,市场仍然相对强劲。 James 市场总结 每年这个周末是对春季市场的一个测试;因此我们今天把拍卖记录员派到各种不同的拍卖现场,从而来确认或否决拍卖现场到底在发生什么,并且墨尔本近郊百万澳元以上房地产市场是怎样的。 简而言之,今天的市场有点牵强,它没有像过去那样消化吞食上市房产,没有像今年五月份那样。 然而总体来说,我们觉得市场仍然是强劲的,只是没有像五月份那样强。 在上周你可以感觉到媒体评论,麦考利(Macquarie)和Westpac对一些范围有影响—— B级和C级房产。 即使上周末的市场统计数据也表明竞标者人数是强的,平均在5位左右,清盘率在80%,所有这些都基于大量的房产。今天处于2位边界线,清盘率也是在边界线上,我们这里所说的边界线是指市场强和正常之间的边界,而不是指市场坚挺和虚弱之间的边界。 和我们交谈过的中介报告说买者对公开房屋展示的兴趣和买者急切性有所下降,这是同中春的市场,同几个月之前的五月份市场相比较而言的,至于中介,他们的意见我们还是尊重的,他们仍然觉得市场是有支撑力的,只是力量没有像冬季前的白热化市场那样强,这点我们同意。 我们是否认为本周市场同上一周市场一样强——不。当1位竞标者人数和2到3位竞标者人数的拍卖百分比保持不动,而井喷的竞标者人数却急剧下跌,并且零竞标者情况在增加。 我们是否认为本周的市场同五月的市场一样热——不,我们认为自早春以来,我们已经确认过数次了。 我们是否认为市场正在下跌——也许,但是我们认为我们最好押宝押在市场在趋于平稳。 从一些历史角度来看: 这是一个巨大的周末,下面是James过去五年超级星期六的标题。 2015:简言之,今天的超级星期六市场有点牵强:清盘率74%,竞标人数2.0 2014:今天对买者来说非常艰难(就像预期的那样):清盘率77%,竞标人数2.1 市场在2015年初的变化速度从高速到超音速。 2013:超级,超级星期六!清盘率73%,竞标人数2.3市场继续在上升。 2012:市场在变坏还是在变好?我们认为是在变好!清盘率71%,竞标人数1.8. 市场在当月转向,并在后六个月上升,事实上一直升到现在。 2011:超级星期六:有些变好,大多数变坏:清盘率43%,竞标人数1.3. 市场在后六个月下降。 2010:这个超级星期六发生了什么?清盘率55%,竞标人数1.3. 市场在之后六个月下降,这确实是2010后期,2011和2012早期的非常平均走势的 开始。   那么总的来讲,2015的超级星期六对我们来讲意味什么? 市场的闲聊正在对市场增长的速度产生抑制作用。 虽然同过去的几个周末相比,今天的数字是下降的,那很可能只是由于市场上房产数量太大的缘故以及我们片面的只针对高端房产进行报导.对我们来讲任何的市场转向,尚未定论,但是我们承认在上一周出现了一些松缓的气氛。 通过与三个在上升市场的超级星期六相比(2012年10月到现在)这个周末的结果仍在同样的数值范围之内.就竞标者人数和清盘率而言,今天的结果仍然是我们称之为强势的市场。   毫无疑问,在高端领域出现了更多的流拍,这在市场变化过程中是正常现象,是的,市场可能在变化。这在市场存量激增的情况下也是正常的,是的,很可能是市场提供量的关系。我们根据今天所看到的还不能排除其中任何一种情况.当墨尔本市场发生变化时,它存在两种节奏——A级的(好的PPP好的价格,房子和位置)继续闪耀,B级的显示出了混合的结果,而C级的(差的价格,房子和位置)简单来讲卖不掉。这种情况现在正在发生,因为有些卖家把他们的价格目标定得越来越高,而买家的目标已开始平稳,甚至下跌。   是否墨尔本近郊市场已经发生改变? 可能,我们的意见是上周市场在自信上确实受到了新的创伤,但如果说这将产生比自信心受到更严重的情况还是为时过早,因此,我们将等到11月份再来确认这周是否是: * 短暂的停顿 * 水平矫正 * 或是游戏改变 十一月份三个星期的竞标者人数连同清盘率无论如何将告诉我们答案。 大的拍卖 11 Hilda Crescent, Hawthorn (Sam Wilkinson, Kay & Burton), 成交, $6,030,000, 3位竞拍者 26 Thanet Street, Malvern (Justin Long, Marshall White), 成交, $5,105,000, 2位竞拍者 9 Scotsburn Street, Hawthorn (Antony Woodley, Marshall White), 成交, [...]
Are our banks being fair to locals?

Are our banks being fair to locals?

We know the papers keep telling us the market is on the wane, it’s getting cold, the “bubble” is bursting; but we’re sorry, we still don’t see any bubble and we don’t see any bursting. Today on the 8th of the 8th – we covered 35 of the approximately 140 $M+ auctions across Inner East and Bayside Melbourne; that’s right 35; [...]
The Top End of Town – November 2014

The Top End of Town – November 2014

Week Ending November 22 The Very Top End of Town in 2014 Strong, very strong. In fact ultra strong finish to the year and so much is happening behind the scenes – off market. To date this year we have bought more off markets than in any other year EVER. In the last month we have purchased 13 [...]
Record Midweek Bayside – Wow!

Record Midweek Bayside – Wow!

Record Midweek Bayside – Wow! If ever you were not that sure about the A-grade home market, just attend a WOW auction with a great agent (Kate Strickland). In Bayside last week (Thursday) new records were set for the suburb at 41 Binnie Street, Brighton East (it was a great home and we were unfortunately the under-bidder – [...]
Chinese Buyers continue to Underpin the Top End of the Market

Chinese Buyers continue to Underpin the Top End of the Market

Saturday, March 29: Market Summary 2014 is still motoring very strongly – the lull which we reported of the last few weeks seems to have been nothing more than the next tread (flatter spot) in the rising price staircase which begun in October 2012 and continues now. This weekend was another Super Saturday with over 150 Auctions in [...]
This price segment is starting to rise

This price segment is starting to rise

Week Ending 18th May Off-Market Special This week, with the quality $M+ market continuing to move ahead strongly, we are looking at an increasingly large part of the market – the Off-market sector. Off-market transactions are transactions that take place without any advertising, without big glossies in The Age or without any internet presence. Consequently you won’t see [...]
Port Phillip Weekly

Port Phillip Weekly

Clearance rates dropped to 54% on 17 auctions in Port Phillip this weekend, after several weeks of solid results in this area. The biggest sale was for 397 Howe Parade in Port Melbourne, which sold under the hammer for $1,541,000 under two bidders. But another in Port Melbourne, at 26 Beach St, had no [...]
It’s official: the Top End is moving, with 40+ buys this month

It’s official: the Top End is moving, with 40+ buys this month

Week Ending 23rd March – We are now seeing The A graders are having multiple bidders – look at the number of volcanoes The B graders are getting mopped up – check old stock records The C graders are being considered by those [...]
Port Phillip Weekly

Port Phillip Weekly

Gridlock With the Grand Prix on this weekend, normally sleepy Port Phillip is currently clogged up with bollards and crowd controllers directing traffic. Key agents Michael Coen (Hocking Stuart) and Kaine Lanyon (Marshall White) agree that this means there will be little, or no real auction action over the next two weekends with only five auctions [...]
Port Phillip Weekly

Port Phillip Weekly

In Port Phillip, the start of 2012 mirrored most of 2011, with stock-shortage being the buzz word amongst agents and buyers. As the year progressed, we saw vendors adjust their expectations as agents finally realised they had to work harder to make vendors understand that the value of their property may have fallen. The interest [...]
A couple of good weeks of auction stock ahead

A couple of good weeks of auction stock ahead

Key Points: We have noticed not only this week, but over the last six months, that $3.M+ properties in the City of Port Phillip, in particular those properties on Beaconsfield Parade, Marine Parade and Beach Street, have really struggled to sell at auction. Not one of the seven auctions I have attended over the last [...]
Uncertain times and new $3m+ stock not as strong as May last year

Uncertain times and new $3m+ stock not as strong as May last year

Week Ending 30th April: Back from a week or two off, this market now, has a fairly clear run till Christmas, with a only brief breaks for a couple of holiday weekends. Over the next four to six weeks we should see more choice and some reasonable activity (although not expected anywhere near [...]

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