oc | Sunday 15th December

Market News » Canterbury


The Elements, Sniffs and Senses are there – but the buyers Mmmmm.

The Elements, Sniffs and Senses are there – but the buyers Mmmmm.
The BIG question for the next two months before the July winter hiatus is………Price. Will seller expectations match buyer expectations? At auctions the answer appears to be a yes, but away from auctions (off markets) we are not so sure. In our opinion, most market inaction away from auctions is due to sellers. There is no doubt there are [...]
2016年市场的开端是(······紧锣密鼓)

2016年市场的开端是(······紧锣密鼓)

2016年市场的开端是(······紧锣密鼓)     5/3/2016 代理故意报低价是欺骗行为,我们完全支持CAV和政府的努力 墨尔本近郊数据 竞标人数 2.4  拍卖水平 150  清盘率78 竞标人数  零竞标者  1位竞标者  2/3位竞标者  4位以上竞标者 2.4        13%       13%        45%           29% James市场总结 2016年市场的开端是······紧锣密鼓······涌入······强劲的······震惊。毫无疑问没有什么其他方法来确切描述。我们已经经历了连续三个大型的周末拍卖了。今天事实上是一个超级星期六,市场已经说明了。 2016年一开始就非常强劲。2016年和2015年仅有的区别就是市场上的房屋数量(2016年要少些)和激烈程度(同2015年暴涨, 失控相比,2016年表现强劲)。 我们James买方代理这个月目前为止做了很多事情,我们今天又买了.但恰恰是我们没有买成或没有买的房子揭示了墨尔本近郊房屋市场的真实情况。 34 Bell Street Hawthorn(Steve Burke and Tony Doh) * 在Hawthorn好的单面房(James房屋评估655) * 中介保守的报价是$1,300,000澳元。 * 我们为我们的投资者的估价在$1,600,000澳元左右,我们经过对该地区近期交易仔细的调查,给出了$1,518,000到$1,718,000这样一个区间。 * 开标价为$1,500,000并且到达了可以销售的价位, 另三位强劲的竞标者把卖价推到了$1,720,000. 为了一个单面房在$1,500,000后出现了井喷式的竞标. * 正好在我们估价的高位。 * 如果竞标以那位代理的报价$1,300,000开始,那我相信你会看到6位或7位竞标者。 * 注意:代理报价没有问题——他们有竞标者在那里并且一开始出到了可以销售的价位。 * 信息一:34 Bell Street告诉我们Hawthorn的单面房在市场上有相当大的深度。 * 信息二:买家并不是单一通过James买方代理同中介打交道,而是不断地同那些落标的竞争者打交道。要成功,让我们回头看看我们去年这个时候在拍卖会外的策略吧。 5 Nelson Street Sandringham (Julian Augustini 和 Romana Preston) * 非常高的质地,单层,装修过,木板,Sandringham B级街道, 中等大小的地块特定年代的房屋(James房屋评估727)。 * 代理报价$2,200,000到$2,300,000 * 开拍$2,400,000着实吓到了众人,使得拍卖停顿了一会,这才使买家有了喘息的机会。 * 而这种失去意识只是短暂的,因为有另5位(是的5位)举起他们的手直至$2,655,000。我们的出价上限是$2,725,000。对于一个在Sandringham低于中等地段,高于中等的单层木板房在出价$2,400,000后出现了竞标者井喷现象。 * 在过去的两周里我们在67 Mills看到6位竞标者把价格抬到了$2,790,000,在Edward St有4位竞标者把价格抬到超过了$2,600,000, 今天这里有6位竞标者(应该有十几位预算超过$2,000,000)——因此现在在海湾区中部,家庭住房是很有深度的。 * 注意:代理报价没有错——他们有竞标者在那里,第二次出标后就房屋就达到了可以销售的价位。 * 信息一:当你想在Sandringham/Hampton买一幢$2,500,000左右的A级的房子,你可能有十几位竞标者(请参阅受伤的落标者文章)在看着你,5 [...]
你好2016!半岛,墨尔本的公开房屋展示和James的启动要比报纸的标题更为乐观

你好2016!半岛,墨尔本的公开房屋展示和James的启动要比报纸的标题更为乐观

你好2016!半岛,墨尔本的公开房屋展示和James的启动要比报纸的标题更为乐观。 Mal James 2016.1.31 欢迎回到James买方代理2016,我们James市场新闻今年开始的比计划稍早了一点,因为在一月份就是现在我们感受到了实实在在的市场关注。 坚实的起步 今年(2016)我们已经参与了大量的买卖业务,目前已有七处房屋正在谈判之中,还有一些其他客户正在积极地寻找。这对2015来说有重要意义–意味着很多在2015年晚春想抓机会离开市场的买家又回来了而且更多的买家已经开始寻找。 房地产记者似乎相当消极——是吗? 一些买家由于在去年底看了一些媒体的文章,以为2016年不会有一个强势的开端。而今年的新闻,根据标题总体上也是消极的(我很高兴有些人很确认,但我不这么认为)。现在他们当然可能是对的!是的,市场很可能继续松弛,但是也有些因素显示市场可能轻易地向反方向发展。 在2月20日和27日两个周末后,我们将可以感到市场是如何的端倪,因按传统会有一些拍卖,然而我们觉得只有到了五月份我们才能真正知道市场是起还是落。 二月份市场总是有点活力的,很多有心理准备或急切的买家和卖家快捷地交易,因为经过圣诞节六周的休假,他们有足够的时间考虑——这很可能造成一个市场复苏的假象。 而且2016年早到的复活节的情况也会扰乱墨尔本近郊市场三月份和四月份的市场总体走向的信息。 半岛和它怎样影响高端市场 这个星期Gina和我为我们一位在Stonnington想要卖房的客户同一些销售经纪们进行了谈话,三个经纪中有两位谈到他们在Portsea/Sorrento的分部在圣诞节假期期间已经看到了可观的市场活力,他们两方都认为这是三百万澳元以上的房产市场在2016年初可能走向的积极的向导。 股票市场和其他澳大利亚国内经济领域的兴趣可能开始要影响房地产市场了,但是市场是跌还是涨,我们将不得不等着瞧——可能要到五月份早些时候(是的,当股市下跌,房产可能会上升,尤其是好的质地的房产)。 我们市场是否这样——我们不知道 谁都不能保证预测一定准确——这就是我们为什么不对总体市场做短期的估计——看看去年发生了什么——哇! 2015年对市场来说是不可思议的一年,总体上,公平地说墨尔本近郊质量好的家庭住房上涨了15%—20%,Domain报道说墨尔本上涨了14%——看上去基本是对的。这是基于墨尔本2013年部分近郊房产和2014年房价大幅上涨后的。 但是我们能预先看到价格波动异常——Brighton被低估了 上周Domain报道海湾区房价上涨要大于东区——我们同意并认为这只是时间问题,让我们参阅一下我们关于Bayside土地价格的2015年3月21日的文章。 总体市场在松动? 是的,绝对有可能。在去年(2015)年底市场呈现一些松动迹象,但是大多数年份在春季晚些时候,市场都会显示同样的迹象,这是由于大量房产涌入市场的原因。话虽如此,毫无疑问市场在2015年11月份的胃口已经没有像在2015年5月份那样贪婪了。 当我们说:“松动“——是指价格上涨的势头出现松动——我们没有看到墨尔本近郊房价全面下跌的情况。 北京在收紧? 我们认为2015年晚些时候的松动,主要是由于中国对东区兴趣有所减弱,而这种减弱主要是由于中国内部的问题和更多人人知道的令人羞愧的FIRB欺诈案例。那是2015年晚期,那2016年我们是否还会看到有如2015年早些时候出现的不可思议的中国人购买狂热? 孟买和墨尔本 没有人能确认市场在短期内(1——5年)会走向哪里。 我所考虑的经我在圣诞节在巴塔哥尼亚和印度休假得到进一步确认,就是墨尔本市场从长期来看,来自当地和海外购买者的需求是很强劲的,这个基本面可能会持续几十年,上百年。 北京是重要的,但是看一下孟买(哇,是什么样的一个地方啊!)看一看一个正在崛起的印度——不,不是板球队——是上升的人口和财富。 从地理面积来看澳大利亚的平方公里数比印度多一倍还多(770万平方公里对比330万平方公里)而我们的人口还不到印度的1/50(2400万对比12.5亿)。 我们有一个国际的开放门户的政策,允许在墨尔本购买土地和房屋,孟买严重缺乏房屋和基础设施······ 我在印度时代报刊上读到了这些,Lakh是10万。 城市(孟买)需要210万所房屋,而每年大约有二十万的家庭有需求,而那些控制了孟买房地产开发的私人开发商每年仅仅只能提供25000所房屋(就房屋开发而言,主要是因为政府放弃了它的责任)。 我还在印度时报上读到,也可能在纽约时报,伦敦时报,先驱太阳报或时代报上; 由于供不应求,所以孟买的土地价格持续上涨。 当你在下个公开的房屋展示以后,在Hampton的Brown Cow,或在Hawthorn的Porgie and Mr.Jones或在Armadale的The Coin Laundry喝一杯咖啡,看一下周围,也许你会看到20个人在咖啡店里,而同样的情况,在印度,你会看到超过一千个人在同一处吮吸着拿铁咖啡,一千个人,那只是印度。 这就是我唯一确切知道的——墨尔本长远的土地价格,如果北京短暂的停顿,那么孟买或里约或雅加达就会及时占据空挡。澳大利亚政府的政策是增长,增长,增长。不是说它是正确的,只是陈述政策。 只要保持这个政策,墨尔本就会保持对世界的吸引力,而从长远看墨尔本的土地价格就会上涨。我们确实是世界上最好的城市之一(2015年我去过日本,秘鲁,阿根廷,智利,纽约,坦赞尼亚和越南)而海外的人(需求)也确实,确实希望来这里生活。 对不起,让我们回到墨尔本公开房屋展示上来看看发生了什么? 就在上个星期我们James房屋评估去了21家在东区,Stonnington和海湾区的房屋,这里要对来找我的买家说一声谢谢!回来感觉真好。 13 Stanley, Kew; 4 Barina, Glen Iris; 5 Lyndhurst, Hawthorn; 4 Downton, Kew; 11 Sir Garnet, Surrey Hills; 14 Locksley, Kew; 13 Yarra, Hawthorn; 32 Alexandra, Canterbury; 2 Alexandra, Canterbury;  15 Suffolk, Surrey Hills; 23 Faversham, Canterbury; 2a Harcourt, Hawthorn East; 78 Sackville, Kew; 25 Alfred, Kew; 99 Illawarra, Hawthorn; 4 Munro, Ashburton; 16 Wellington, Brighton; [...]
G’day 2016!  The Peninsula, Melbourne OFI’s and James has started more positively than the newspaper headlines.

G’day 2016! The Peninsula, Melbourne OFI’s and James has started more positively than the newspaper headlines.

Welcome back to James Buyers Agents and Advocates 2016. We have started James Market News a little earlier than planned because we are experiencing solid market interest right here and now in January. SOLID START We have already been involved in substantial buys and sells this year (2016) and currently have seven homes in negotiation; with a [...]
Understand the effect “Chinese Buyers” have on your market and learn strategies to deal with it

Understand the effect “Chinese Buyers” have on your market and learn strategies to deal with it

    The Chinese Phenomenon – Case Studies References: 1) Here is a link to a sample of 500 (Five hundred) homes we have bought recently – you decide if we are qualified to make the comments we are making http://www.james.net.au/homeratings/houses_bought.php?token=LJbnmFauW3 2) Here is a link to the 5000 (Five thousand) auctions we have reported on – you decide if we [...]
We focused on the biggies today and it was more solid than we thought it would be!

We focused on the biggies today and it was more solid than we thought it would be!

We really thought last week the slide may be on. We really thought we may be moving from a blanket market to a crochet rug market (you know the one with holes). However today, there weren’t that many holes. Ducks shrunk from last week and Bidderman rose. No it wasn’t that we had a heap of volcanoes distorting [...]
A noticeable quietening in the buzz at OFI’s this week.

A noticeable quietening in the buzz at OFI’s this week.

Clearance rates high (a Jeremy Fox late sale in made it 84%) – but the urgency didn’t feel as intense this week – possibly due to the large influx of new spring stock. Bidderman was down – last week was really strong; it really was, this week was solid but weaker. At the Top End there is less noise – [...]
The Market Begins the Big May Run – Hold On!

The Market Begins the Big May Run – Hold On!

Inner Melbourne Values $3M Round Up (Start of May and Some Around Easter Sales of Interest) As we kick into May and look back on April you can see the TOP END is still very healthy – sure some are not selling and some are being withdrawn but its not only Saturday Auctions that are getting [...]
Easter 2015 James Land Value Guides for Inner Melbourne

Easter 2015 James Land Value Guides for Inner Melbourne

Easter Land Guides G’day and welcome to our special James Report on the changing of Melbourne’s land values in early 2015 (updated from a few weeks ago). We detail below: Melbourne’s Big Land Influences Melbourne’s Land Values Melbourne Land Opportunities Melbourne’s Land Influences Question: Which suburb in Melbourne is having the greatest influence on land values across all of Melbourne? Is it Toorak, [...]
WOW – 50% of the auctions we covered today were Volcanoes.

WOW – 50% of the auctions we covered today were Volcanoes.

At 6.00 pm on Saturday, the James Clearance Rate for Melbourne’s $M+ property was another mind boggling 86% on the 29 auctions we covered. James Bidderman, our bidders per auction measurement was 3.0. These numbers are late 80’s or 2007 sorts of stats. Overall Summary of Melbourne’s Million Dollar-Plus Auctions: Ducks ($M+ auctions with no bidders) 15% Lone Rangers ($M+ [...]
Boroondara Weekly

Boroondara Weekly

Melbourne’s Land Influences Question: Which suburb in Melbourne is having the greatest influence on land values across all of Melbourne? Is it Toorak, Brighton, Hawthorn or is it Albert Park? These are very influential suburbs and more expensive than the suburb we think is Melbourne’s most influential land value suburb, but it is not any of these. No, Melbourne’s [...]
Is the Top End easing a smidgen?

Is the Top End easing a smidgen?

Week Ending Saturday, September 13: Market Summary The Market is splitting as it normally does when adjusting to the Spring Influx of properties. This week the market has sent buyers and sellers two very clear messages. If you’ve got a well priced, ready to move in home with some WOW in the $1m to $5m  range, then you have [...]
Chinese Buyers continue to Underpin the Top End of the Market

Chinese Buyers continue to Underpin the Top End of the Market

Saturday, March 29: Market Summary 2014 is still motoring very strongly – the lull which we reported of the last few weeks seems to have been nothing more than the next tread (flatter spot) in the rising price staircase which begun in October 2012 and continues now. This weekend was another Super Saturday with over 150 Auctions in [...]
Balwyn – not Toorak or Brighton – saw 40% of this weekend’s $3m+ sales

Balwyn – not Toorak or Brighton – saw 40% of this weekend’s $3m+ sales

At 6.00pm Super Saturday, the James Clearance Rate for Melbourne’s $M+ property was 71% on the 38 auctions we covered. The Weekly Review Bidderman, our bidders per auction measurement, was at 2.1. Both stats are up on the last few weeks. Overall Summary of Melbourne’s Million Dollar Plus Auctions: Ducks ($M+ auctions with no [...]
Second Super Saturday in seven days and the upper auction market burps

Second Super Saturday in seven days and the upper auction market burps

At 6.00 pm Saturday the James Clearance Rate for Melbourne’s $M+ property was 56% on the 45  auctions we covered. The Weekly Review Bidderman, our bidders per auction measurement, was at 1.7. Market Summary On the face of it that was a big drop from last weekend’s “red zone” numbers. We agree – but it should be noted that our [...]

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