oc | Sunday 15th December

Market News » collingwood


And finally Telstra reported that a number of selling agents were returning calls to buyers…..

And finally Telstra reported that a number of selling agents were returning calls to buyers…..
It’s James Market News Lite on this special day, today. Today it was hard to believe what we saw, all over the Inner Melbourne auction scene. It was incredible. Overseas bidders from China were not actually putting offers in on homes, without FIRB approval and a number of negative gearing buyers who owned between 10 and 20 homes, had decided to [...]
简而言之,今天超级星期六市场有点牵强。

简而言之,今天超级星期六市场有点牵强。

这是个概括,一个超级星期六的概括。John Morrisby就 40 Britten, Glen Iris 达成了交易,成交价$2,415,000 有3位竞标者。 墨尔本近郊数据 竞标人数 2 拍卖水平 245 清盘率74 竞标人数 零竞标者 1位竞标者 2/3位竞标者 4位以上竞标者 2      19%       19%       46%           16% 我们今天主要着重于关注高端房产,因为它是金矿中的黄宝石。如果市场有变化的话, 你将最早在高端领域看到,因为目前的市场是一个受高端房产驱动的市场。从传统上来讲,高端领域房产价格最容易受到影响,因此能很好反映情况。 今天我们报导的38场拍卖中有33场是超过二百万澳元的,并且其中近乎一半超过三百万澳元。你可能认为以下一些评论也许比较中立——我们不是——我们报导我们所看到的.我们看到一些变化,但是我们知道今天是一个超级星期六,而且我们集中关注的是一个传统的最少竞标者参与的部分——墨尔本高端领域中的高端,市场仍然相对强劲。 James 市场总结 每年这个周末是对春季市场的一个测试;因此我们今天把拍卖记录员派到各种不同的拍卖现场,从而来确认或否决拍卖现场到底在发生什么,并且墨尔本近郊百万澳元以上房地产市场是怎样的。 简而言之,今天的市场有点牵强,它没有像过去那样消化吞食上市房产,没有像今年五月份那样。 然而总体来说,我们觉得市场仍然是强劲的,只是没有像五月份那样强。 在上周你可以感觉到媒体评论,麦考利(Macquarie)和Westpac对一些范围有影响—— B级和C级房产。 即使上周末的市场统计数据也表明竞标者人数是强的,平均在5位左右,清盘率在80%,所有这些都基于大量的房产。今天处于2位边界线,清盘率也是在边界线上,我们这里所说的边界线是指市场强和正常之间的边界,而不是指市场坚挺和虚弱之间的边界。 和我们交谈过的中介报告说买者对公开房屋展示的兴趣和买者急切性有所下降,这是同中春的市场,同几个月之前的五月份市场相比较而言的,至于中介,他们的意见我们还是尊重的,他们仍然觉得市场是有支撑力的,只是力量没有像冬季前的白热化市场那样强,这点我们同意。 我们是否认为本周市场同上一周市场一样强——不。当1位竞标者人数和2到3位竞标者人数的拍卖百分比保持不动,而井喷的竞标者人数却急剧下跌,并且零竞标者情况在增加。 我们是否认为本周的市场同五月的市场一样热——不,我们认为自早春以来,我们已经确认过数次了。 我们是否认为市场正在下跌——也许,但是我们认为我们最好押宝押在市场在趋于平稳。 从一些历史角度来看: 这是一个巨大的周末,下面是James过去五年超级星期六的标题。 2015:简言之,今天的超级星期六市场有点牵强:清盘率74%,竞标人数2.0 2014:今天对买者来说非常艰难(就像预期的那样):清盘率77%,竞标人数2.1 市场在2015年初的变化速度从高速到超音速。 2013:超级,超级星期六!清盘率73%,竞标人数2.3市场继续在上升。 2012:市场在变坏还是在变好?我们认为是在变好!清盘率71%,竞标人数1.8. 市场在当月转向,并在后六个月上升,事实上一直升到现在。 2011:超级星期六:有些变好,大多数变坏:清盘率43%,竞标人数1.3. 市场在后六个月下降。 2010:这个超级星期六发生了什么?清盘率55%,竞标人数1.3. 市场在之后六个月下降,这确实是2010后期,2011和2012早期的非常平均走势的 开始。   那么总的来讲,2015的超级星期六对我们来讲意味什么? 市场的闲聊正在对市场增长的速度产生抑制作用。 虽然同过去的几个周末相比,今天的数字是下降的,那很可能只是由于市场上房产数量太大的缘故以及我们片面的只针对高端房产进行报导.对我们来讲任何的市场转向,尚未定论,但是我们承认在上一周出现了一些松缓的气氛。 通过与三个在上升市场的超级星期六相比(2012年10月到现在)这个周末的结果仍在同样的数值范围之内.就竞标者人数和清盘率而言,今天的结果仍然是我们称之为强势的市场。   毫无疑问,在高端领域出现了更多的流拍,这在市场变化过程中是正常现象,是的,市场可能在变化。这在市场存量激增的情况下也是正常的,是的,很可能是市场提供量的关系。我们根据今天所看到的还不能排除其中任何一种情况.当墨尔本市场发生变化时,它存在两种节奏——A级的(好的PPP好的价格,房子和位置)继续闪耀,B级的显示出了混合的结果,而C级的(差的价格,房子和位置)简单来讲卖不掉。这种情况现在正在发生,因为有些卖家把他们的价格目标定得越来越高,而买家的目标已开始平稳,甚至下跌。   是否墨尔本近郊市场已经发生改变? 可能,我们的意见是上周市场在自信上确实受到了新的创伤,但如果说这将产生比自信心受到更严重的情况还是为时过早,因此,我们将等到11月份再来确认这周是否是: * 短暂的停顿 * 水平矫正 * 或是游戏改变 十一月份三个星期的竞标者人数连同清盘率无论如何将告诉我们答案。 大的拍卖 11 Hilda Crescent, Hawthorn (Sam Wilkinson, Kay & Burton), 成交, $6,030,000, 3位竞拍者 26 Thanet Street, Malvern (Justin Long, Marshall White), 成交, $5,105,000, 2位竞拍者 9 Scotsburn Street, Hawthorn (Antony Woodley, Marshall White), 成交, [...]
Property vs Shares

Property vs Shares

You may have seen an advertisement recently talking about the benefits of Shares Vs Property. Essentially the advertisement comes to the conclusion that “shares can work harder than property only with a lot less work”. The ad compares the results of investing $31,000 in 1993 either in a diverse range of Australian Shares or used as a [...]
A little quieter outside the big $M+ markets

A little quieter outside the big $M+ markets

The rest of $M Melbourne Melbourne slipped a cog this weekend with a 64% clearance rate on 25 $M+ reported auctions – a fair way down from last week’s stellar 83% on our 30 monitored $M+ auctions. Some Highlights In Yarra (Richmond to Fitzroy) there were six properties up for auction at around a $million, and six were bought Elsternwick 9 [...]
Still rockin’ along – bidders at all auctions

Still rockin’ along – bidders at all auctions

Key Points: Balwyn 23 Bevan, Richard James & William Chen. Quote $3,300,000 to $3,600,000. James Home Rating 742/1000. Bought After Auction Around $3,500,000. Bidderman 1. James Video Auction:  https://www.marketnews.com.au/video/?vid=316 Hawthorn 24 Coppin, Jock Langley. Around $9,000,000 Private Sale. This basic house, on an acre on the river in Hawthorn’s river precinct, has been on the market for well over [...]
Continues to build strength on lower stock levels

Continues to build strength on lower stock levels

Key Points: We covered 8 auctions across Stonnington on Saturday and all of them were bought. Armadale 28 Seymour, Joanna Nairn. Quote $3,500,000 plus. James Rating 682/1000. Bought After Auction, around $3,500,000. Bidderman 1 South Yarra 38 Park, Warwick Anderson. Quote $3,500,000 plus. James Rating 725/1000. Bought After Auction, above $3,000,000. Bidderman 1 Thursday Auction: Armadale 21 Adelaide. John Bongiorno [...]
Stock is coming on – prices are going where….?

Stock is coming on – prices are going where….?

At 6pm on Saturday the James Million-Dollar-Plus clearance rate was 50% for the 38 auctions we attended. Of note is the fact that only 1 in 4 sold under the hammer. On Sunday the post-auction clearance rate rose to 66% on all 61 monitored properties. That tells us that the market is right on the brink, but [...]
The Private Sale Clearance Rate in $M+ Melbourne was around 1 in 4 over last 6 weeks. However at auctions this weekend it was ‘even-stevens’ between Buyers and Sellers. Bidderman 2.2

The Private Sale Clearance Rate in $M+ Melbourne was around 1 in 4 over last 6 weeks. However at auctions this weekend it was ‘even-stevens’ between Buyers and Sellers. Bidderman 2.2

At 6pm Saturday the James Clearance Rate on the 22 $M+ Auctions we covered was 59%. Our Demand Indicator Bidderman was 2.2.  Hmmm – an interesting increase but it was off a very low turnover. Today’s Highlights 1)      Bidders were present at 18 of the 22 auctions we covered –  and at three auctions there were 6+bidders 23 [...]
Glen Eira – Continues Moving on Up

Glen Eira – Continues Moving on Up

Unless you have been in a cave you would know that property prices in Glen Eira have been increasing for some time now. However in the past two weeks, after the Easter break,  million dollar prices have been common as common as Bagels in Glenhuntly Road; as common as Gary Peer signs on Bambra Road [...]
Is Help On the Way? We hope so, but don’t think it’s coming in a hurry!

Is Help On the Way? We hope so, but don’t think it’s coming in a hurry!

It is 6pm Saturday and the James Million Dollar-Plus Clearance rate for the 38 Auctions we attended today was 74%; basically no change on the 77% ( pre Easter Super Saturday -March 27). Bidderman was down from to 3 to 2.3 bidders per auction but that is still very strong all things considered (stock quality and Easter holidays). Market Mood Today was [...]
Bidderdepth… A recap on Year To Date in the North.

Bidderdepth… A recap on Year To Date in the North.

Since the start of 2010 we have seen buyers itching to get into the market… the amount of bidders in the North has increased as the weeks have progressed. Where is everyone coming from…? Well it appears a combination of people who missed out in 2009, investors returning to the market and obviously a new bread of buyers that [...]
North Marching on!

North Marching on!

Another strong week of Auctions putting to rest any doubt that a seller’s market has not started with a bang. Out in Eaglemont Andrew Sein of Duncan McIntyre was reportedly stopping traffic with over 150 people attending the auction at 22 Waldemar Road – 7 bidders emerged from the crowd and the property sold  for $1.37 million [...]
Property science and laws

Property science and laws

It’s 6pm Saturday and the James Clearance Rate for million-dollar-plus auctions is 84 per cent on the 25 auctions we attended today. The market today (Saturday) was again very, very strong. In fact, this is one of our biggest ever clearance rates for $1m+ homes. This, despite stock increasing and interest rate talk. Still [...]
Markets, talking price and late bids.

Markets, talking price and late bids.

It’s 6pm Saturday and the James Clearance Rate for million-dollar-plus auctions is 60 per cent on the 20 auctions we attended but that may change by Sunday. The market today (Saturday) was again strong across the board but crowd numbers continue to drop and there was a 40 per cent pass-in rate at [...]
Marshall Rushford of Hocking Stuart on Elsternwick and Caulfield

Marshall Rushford of Hocking Stuart on Elsternwick and Caulfield

Marshall is a quiet achiever in the Caulfield area. A decent man who communicates well and honestly, we have always enjoyed our dealings with Marshall. But that does not mean in any way that he is nothing but difficult on price shifting. We have had a number of pre-auction negotiations where [...]

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