oc | Saturday 7th December

Market News » hamish tostevin


Big picture bleak, closer examination brighter!

Big picture bleak, closer examination brighter!
Its 6pm Saturday, week one of our fourth and final 2018, 3-week 100 Auction, Inner Melbourne Family Home, Market Temperature Test. Try saying that a few times! The results above and supporting data below are self-explanatory. Yes? No? Maybe? Have you been to an auction, EOI or off-market lately – is it a bit hit and miss? Not really. In fact, we [...]
为年轻购房者的解决方案——冬季重要专题

为年轻购房者的解决方案——冬季重要专题

 6月20日星期六下午6:00——中期报告  * 新上市的新房数量正在逐步减少,因为大多数好的经纪人开始进入学校寒假的休息阶段,下周将是入春前的最后一次主要拍卖周。  在大量新的质量好的房子进入早春市场之前,任何市场变化的数据都没有什么意义。  到目前为止今年的总结很简单:就像我们在房地产业长期的从业者所看到的那样,房产市场等同或强于任何其它时段的市场。  在东区和海湾区,海外购房者是主要的推动力—他们呈爆发和持续的态势。  那些有大地块的房子以及没房子或房子可即推掉的大地块,价格在圣诞节期间上涨了10%,其中有些从二月份到现在又上涨了10%,是的,部分都涨了20%了。  这些“20%“上涨所产生的影响是巨大和深远的。我们看到越来越多原本接近百万房产的地区现在卖价都超过了百万,因为一些东区和海湾区的竞标失败者由于价格原因已经把他们的眼光转移出了他们原本希望的传统区域。由于受那些失败竞标者涌入的影响,那些对海外购买者没有吸引力的房产的价格也有了巨大的上涨,——也就是,那些当地没能力购买大地块房产的人被迫参与较小地块房屋的竞争。墨尔本近郊在价格,房产,位子这三点上,在2015年早期有了长远和深度的结构性变化,并且自1970以来达到了新的高度。自2009年FIRB法案(限制海外投资者)和FIRB法案修正案以来,海外购买和影响还在继续加速。墨尔本现在确确实实成了一个国际购买市场。  泡沫?嗯,吃不准是不是由于上述原因(移民)。当然,在某些阶段这种强度会有所减轻,但只有移民,税/养老金购买法,或利率有巨大变化的话,这种强度才会大幅度减轻,而这种情况短期内不太会出现。  我们临近冬至前的一个最后总结评语:游戏现在已经改变,如果我们每个人想在墨尔本(现今的国际市场)上购房,我们也必须做出改变。James买方代理已经做出改变——现在只有在房子卖出后你才能在公开的地方看到我们对房产的评估。你会发现在公开房屋展示场所看到我们黄褐色背心的身影有所减少,你会发现在拍卖现场看到我出席的次数有所减少,但其实我们买了比以往更多的房子。从2015年开始,游戏改变了,我们James买方代理已经改变以便能更好地满足我们客户的需要。你,受伤的竞标失败者难道不需要改变吗? James内部新闻 好消息之一:今天是Simone和Adam加入我们James以来第一次为客户参加买房竞标(卖房中介是Tom Ryan)。该客户在过去的18个月里已经失去了4次以上的机会。好消息是该业务是由卖方经纪人,Desiree Wakim无偿,也不为卖房而推荐的。Desiree之所以推荐是因为他认为Simone 关心而且能帮助客户,而Simone也确实做到了。感谢你,Desiree!
The New Normal

The New Normal

James now Smartphone Optimised for easier reading – click horizontal bars in top left hand corner of  iPhone James Market Summary 6.00 pm Saturday May 23rd $M+ Clearance Rate 79% (29 auctions) Bidderman 2.4 Ducks 10% Lone Rangers 14% Norms 48% Volcanoes 28% $M+ Market remained very strong. Significant drop in Bidderman – Is today a statistical anomaly or market easing or indeed simply more buyers placing more [...]
It’s Easy to Throw in the Towel – Don’t.

It’s Easy to Throw in the Towel – Don’t.

At 6.00 pm on Saturday, the James Clearance Rate for Melbourne’s $M+ property was 93% on the 29 auctions we covered. The James Bidderman, our bidders per auction measurement was at 3.2. Overall Summary of Melbourne’s Million Dollar-Plus Auctions: Ducks ($M+ auctions with no bidders) 7% Lone Rangers ($M+ auctions with one bidder) 11% Norms ($M+ auctions with 2 [...]
Over Half! Yes over half the auctions today were Volcanoes.

Over Half! Yes over half the auctions today were Volcanoes.

At 6.00 pm on Saturday, the James Clearance Rate for Melbourne’s $M+ property was 92% on the 26 auctions we covered. The Weekly Review Bidderman, our bidders per auction measurement was at 3.4. Market Summary The overall market is clear at the start of the May run. The strongest James Bidderman and James $M+ Clearance Rate combination [...]
The Volume at the Top End is Mindboggling – On and Off Market

The Volume at the Top End is Mindboggling – On and Off Market

$3 million-plus market is now driving markets at the lower levels: The Higher the Asking Price the more Bidders. Our overall Inner Melbourne market is being driven by Overseas Interest (of course not on every home) – we all know that. But what is of further interest is the flow on effect to the lower parts [...]
Some Chinese buyers have worked out agent quoting, but many local buyers appear to have not.

Some Chinese buyers have worked out agent quoting, but many local buyers appear to have not.

At 6.00 pm on Saturday, the James Clearance Rate for Melbourne’s $M+ property was 90% on the 30 auctions we covered. James Bidderman, our bidders per auction measurement continues to be through the roof on big stock numbers at 2.9. Hello, did we write 90% on big auction numbers  and Bidderman nearly 3 – is this real? [...]
An up and down end to 2013

An up and down end to 2013

At 6.00pm on Super Saturday the James Clearance Rate for Melbourne’s $M+ property was 62% on the 43 auctions we covered. The Weekly Review Bidderman, our bidders per auction measurement, was at 1.8 – down on last week. Ducks (no bidder auctions) – 24% Lone Rangers (1 bidder auctions) – 18% Norms (2-3 bidder auctions) – 45% Volcanoes (4+ [...]
Some strong results away from auction

Some strong results away from auction

Week Ending Saturday, November 30 Biggest Auctions: Port Melbourne, 25 Beach Street, Oliver Bruce (Marshall White), after auction, $5,175,000, 4 bidders Over 80 people poured into the kitchen/living area of 25 Beach street, Port Melbourne today to see Oliver Bruce put the home to auction…(See More in Auction Reports) South Yarra, 17-19 Alexandra Avenue, Tim Derham (Abercromby’s), after auction, [...]
Boroondara Weekly

Boroondara Weekly

With Christmas in everyone’s sights, the next four to five weeks is likely to be interesting. Will the year finish off as strongly as it did last year? Only time will tell. In terms of new properties coming on to the internet, we really only have two weeks left. Although I suspect that we’ll still be [...]
Boroondara Weekly

Boroondara Weekly

The market continues to perform well and on my regular chats with agents the feedback is very positive. Interestingly, the clearance rates at the bigger firms for auctions are more often than not exceeding the average clearance rate. This week we continue the focus on the $3 million plus Boroondara market. Among the recent activity at this [...]
Back after a spell and it’s steady as she goes

Back after a spell and it’s steady as she goes

At 6.00 pm on Saturday the James Clearance Rate for Melbourne’s $M+ property was 63% on the 30 auctions we covered. The Weekly Review Bidderman, our bidders per auction measurement, was 1.9. Market Summary Welcome back after the Easter break. Wow! What a finish we saw to the market pre Easter – it was strong in numbers on all [...]
Stonnington Weekly

Stonnington Weekly

This year seems to have started where it left off – with a sense of buyers wanting to transact. Stonnington Snapshot Last year we did almost a third of our business for the year in the last 6 weeks of the year. In fact, we worked on deals till Christmas. Of particular interest were a [...]
Boroondara Weekly

Boroondara Weekly

It was a reasonable day on the Boroondara auction streets on Saturday, although it was still a little subdued compared to Super Saturday a few weeks ago. Of the 12 auctions we attended, 9 sold and 3 passed in (75%), which aligns closely with the overall $1m+ market in Boroondara (72%). Some observations: The hammer rate, where [...]
The Banks are starting to pull the market strings!

The Banks are starting to pull the market strings!

At 6pm on Saturday, the James $M+ Clearance Rate was 50% across the 32 auctions we attended. The Weekly Review Bidderman was 1.5 bidders per auction.  Half the auctions today were lone rangers (one bidder) or ducks (no bidders). On a very positive note, however, which again reaffirms our views on quality stock, there were [...]

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